NASCAR Nationwide Series at Bristol

Bristol Motor Speedway — August 23, 2013

Kyle Busch
Winner
250
Laps
40
Entries
2
Leaders

Kyle Busch won the 2013 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Bristol at Bristol Motor Speedway on August 23, 2013, leading 228 of 250 laps. Brad Keselowski finished second; Austin Dillon rounded out the podium. The race featured 2 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Friday, August 23, 2013
Season
2013
Winner
Leaders
2 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 1 Kyle Busch
2 15 +13 Brad Keselowski
3 6 +3 Austin Dillon
4 4 Justin Allgaier
5 5 Kyle Larson
6 8 +2 Trevor Bayne
7 3 -4 Ty Dillon
8 16 +8 Kasey Kahne
9 2 -7 Brian Scott
10 25 +15 Elliott Sadler
11 21 +10 Michael Annett
12 13 +1 Sam Hornish Jr.
13 11 -2 Travis Pastrana
14 17 +3 Cole Whitt
15 20 +5 Brendan Gaughan
16 29 +13 Jeff Green
17 18 +1 Mike Bliss
18 24 +6 Joe Nemechek
19 19 Kenny Wallace
20 26 +6 Chad Hackenbracht
21 7 -14 Regan Smith
22 30 +8 Jeremy Clements
23 36 +13 Landon Cassill
24 22 -2 Nelson Piquet Jr.
25 23 -2 Kevin Swindell
26 27 +1 Ryan Reed
27 35 +8 Mike Wallace
28 31 +3 Reed Sorenson
29 28 -1 Kyle Fowler
30 38 +8 Robert Richardson Jr.
31 37 +6 Blake Koch
32 39 +7 Brad Teague
33 14 -19 Alex Bowman
34 9 -25 Brian Vickers
35 10 -25 Parker Kligerman
36 12 -24 Drew Herring
37 33 -4 Matt DiBenedetto
38 40 +2 J.J. Yeley
39 34 -5 Chase Miller
40 32 -8 Josh Wise
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 8 matched drivers, the model averaged 12.8 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Kyle Busch 15.6 1 +14.6
2 Brad Keselowski 12.0 2 +10.0
3 Austin Dillon 17.0 3 +14.0
4 Justin Allgaier 17.7 4 +13.7
5 Kyle Larson 8.6 5 +3.6
7 Ty Dillon 24.3 7 +17.3
33 Alex Bowman 14.0 33 -19.0
38 J.J. Yeley 28.1 38 -9.9

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Kyle Busch: has 73 career starts at Bristol Motor Speedway with a 11.7 avg finish (20 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Kyle Larson: was the model’s top pick based on 37 career starts at Bristol Motor Speedway with a 11.2 avg finish (5 wins), finishing P5 on the day.
  • Ty Dillon: was the biggest surprise, finishing P7 vs predicted P24. Track history: 29 starts, 17.0 avg finish.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2013 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Bristol?
Kyle Busch won the 2013 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Bristol at Bristol Motor Speedway.
Where was the 2013 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Bristol held?
The 2013 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Bristol was held at Bristol Motor Speedway on August 23, 2013.