NASCAR Nationwide Series at Iowa

Iowa Speedway — August 3, 2013

Brad Keselowski
Winner
250
Laps
40
Entries
6
Leaders

Brad Keselowski won the 2013 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Iowa at Iowa Speedway on August 3, 2013, leading 35 of 250 laps. Sam Hornish Jr. finished second; Brian Vickers rounded out the podium. The race featured 6 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Saturday, August 3, 2013
Season
2013
Leaders
6 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 5 +4 Brad Keselowski
2 14 +12 Sam Hornish Jr.
3 6 +3 Brian Vickers
4 8 +4 Austin Dillon
5 11 +6 Kyle Larson
6 1 -5 Drew Herring
7 3 -4 Alex Bowman
8 10 +2 Elliott Sadler
9 23 +14 Ryan Gifford
10 7 -3 Trevor Bayne
11 2 -9 Regan Smith
12 17 +5 Michael Annett
13 4 -9 Brian Scott
14 13 -1 Nelson Piquet Jr.
15 19 +4 Brad Sweet
16 20 +4 Parker Kligerman
17 9 -8 Justin Allgaier
18 24 +6 Mike Bliss
19 21 +2 Johanna Long
20 16 -4 Cole Whitt
21 22 +1 Jeremy Clements
22 12 -10 Kenny Wallace
23 26 +3 Eric McClure
24 28 +4 Mike Wallace
25 32 +7 Daryl Harr
26 27 +1 Joey Gase
27 15 -12 Travis Pastrana
28 30 +2 Kyle Fowler
29 39 +10 Richard Harriman
30 36 +6 Travis Sauter
31 18 -13 Reed Sorenson
32 34 +2 Kevin Lepage
33 25 -8 Brett Butler
34 38 +4 Danny Efland
35 37 +2 Morgan Shepherd
36 40 +4 Carl Long
37 35 -2 T.J. Bell
38 31 -7 Blake Koch
39 33 -6 Jason Bowles
40 29 -11 Jeff Green
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 6 matched drivers, the model averaged 6.9 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Good

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Brad Keselowski 11.2 1 +10.2
4 Austin Dillon 17.1 4 +13.1
5 Kyle Larson 12.7 5 +7.7
7 Alex Bowman 13.5 7 +6.5
17 Justin Allgaier 18.3 17 +1.3
26 Joey Gase 23.4 26 -2.6

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Brad Keselowski: has 7 career starts at Iowa Speedway with a 3.9 avg finish (3 wins) — the model correctly identified this strength.
  • Austin Dillon: was the biggest surprise, finishing P4 vs predicted P17. Track history: 10 starts, 10.9 avg finish.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2013 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Iowa?
Brad Keselowski won the 2013 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Iowa at Iowa Speedway.
Where was the 2013 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Iowa held?
The 2013 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Iowa was held at Iowa Speedway on August 3, 2013.