NNS at Talladega Pres. By Victory MotorCycles
Talladega Superspeedway — May 4, 2013
Regan Smith
Winner
110
Laps
40
Entries
16
Leaders
Regan Smith won the 2013 NNS at Talladega Pres. By Victory MotorCycles at Talladega Superspeedway on May 4, 2013, leading 7 of 110 laps. Joey Logano finished second; Kasey Kahne rounded out the podium. The race featured 16 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, May 4, 2013
Track
Season
2013
Winner
Leaders
16 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | +19 | Regan Smith |
| 2 | 12 | +10 | Joey Logano |
| 3 | 11 | +8 | Kasey Kahne |
| 4 | 9 | +5 | Kurt Busch |
| 5 | 5 | — | Justin Allgaier |
| 6 | 18 | +12 | Parker Kligerman |
| 7 | 38 | +31 | Mike Wallace |
| 8 | 31 | +23 | Jason A. White |
| 9 | 37 | +28 | Jeremy Clements |
| 10 | 2 | -8 | Austin Dillon |
| 11 | 7 | -4 | Elliott Sadler |
| 12 | 29 | +17 | Jamie Dick |
| 13 | 14 | +1 | Alex Bowman |
| 14 | 24 | +10 | Mike Bliss |
| 15 | 21 | +6 | Brian Vickers |
| 16 | 27 | +11 | Jeffrey Earnhardt |
| 17 | 22 | +5 | Landon Cassill |
| 18 | 39 | +21 | Josh Wise |
| 19 | 36 | +17 | Donnie Neuenberger |
| 20 | 33 | +13 | Robert Richardson Jr. |
| 21 | 10 | -11 | Joey Coulter |
| 22 | 15 | -7 | Reed Sorenson |
| 23 | 23 | — | Eric McClure |
| 24 | 17 | -7 | Ty Dillon |
| 25 | 6 | -19 | Sam Hornish Jr. |
| 26 | 25 | -1 | Johanna Long |
| 27 | 8 | -19 | Brian Scott |
| 28 | 3 | -25 | Trevor Bayne |
| 29 | 16 | -13 | Nelson Piquet Jr. |
| 30 | 40 | +10 | Tim Andrews |
| 31 | 26 | -5 | Bobby Gerhart |
| 32 | 28 | -4 | Mike Harmon |
| 33 | 34 | +1 | Blake Koch |
| 34 | 32 | -2 | Hal Martin |
| 35 | 35 | — | Morgan Shepherd |
| 36 | 1 | -35 | Travis Pastrana |
| 37 | 30 | -7 | Joe Nemechek |
| 38 | 19 | -19 | Kyle Larson |
| 39 | 4 | -35 | Danica Patrick |
| 40 | 13 | -27 | Jeff Green |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 6 matched drivers, the model averaged 12.1 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Joey Logano | 20.5 | 2 | +18.5 |
| 5 | Justin Allgaier | 21.1 | 5 | +16.1 |
| 10 | Austin Dillon | 23.4 | 10 | +13.4 |
| 13 | Alex Bowman | 15.1 | 13 | +2.1 |
| 24 | Ty Dillon | 21.1 | 24 | -2.9 |
| 38 | Kyle Larson | 18.5 | 38 | -19.5 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Regan Smith: has 22 career starts at Talladega Superspeedway with a 20.0 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Alex Bowman: was the model’s top pick based on 19 career starts at Talladega Superspeedway with a 17.5 avg finish, finishing P13 on the day.
- Joey Logano: was the biggest surprise, finishing P2 vs predicted P21. Track history: 42 starts, 18.0 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2013 NNS at Talladega Pres. By Victory MotorCycles?
Regan Smith won the 2013 NNS at Talladega Pres. By Victory MotorCycles at Talladega Superspeedway.
Where was the 2013 NNS at Talladega Pres. By Victory MotorCycles held?
The 2013 NNS at Talladega Pres. By Victory MotorCycles was held at Talladega Superspeedway on May 4, 2013.