American Ethanol 200 Presented By Enogen
Iowa Speedway — January 1, 2015
Erik Jones
Winner
200
Laps
32
Entries
5
Leaders
Erik Jones won the 2015 American Ethanol 200 Presented By Enogen at Iowa Speedway on January 1, 2015, leading 112 of 200 laps. Brandon Jones finished second; Tyler Reddick rounded out the podium. The race featured 5 different leaders.
Race Details
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | — | Erik Jones |
| 2 | 4 | +2 | Brandon Jones |
| 3 | 3 | — | Tyler Reddick |
| 4 | 9 | +5 | Matt Crafton |
| 5 | 10 | +5 | Christopher Bell |
| 6 | 16 | +10 | Timothy Peters |
| 7 | 14 | +7 | Spencer Gallagher |
| 8 | 13 | +5 | Daniel Hemric |
| 9 | 7 | -2 | Cole Custer |
| 10 | 12 | +2 | John Wes Townley |
| 11 | 11 | — | Justin Boston |
| 12 | 18 | +6 | Austin Theriault |
| 13 | 8 | -5 | Ben Kennedy |
| 14 | 6 | -8 | Caleb Holman |
| 15 | 23 | +8 | Ray Black Jr. |
| 16 | 17 | +1 | Mason Mingus |
| 17 | 20 | +3 | Johnny Sauter |
| 18 | 22 | +4 | Timmy Hill |
| 19 | 5 | -14 | Cameron Hayley |
| 20 | 19 | -1 | Tyler Young |
| 21 | 27 | +6 | Jennifer Jo Cobb |
| 22 | 26 | +4 | Jordan Anderson |
| 23 | 2 | -21 | John Hunter Nemechek |
| 24 | 21 | -3 | Travis Kvapil |
| 25 | 29 | +4 | Norm Benning |
| 26 | 25 | -1 | Korbin Forrister |
| 27 | 15 | -12 | Jake Griffin |
| 28 | 30 | +2 | Tommy Regan |
| 29 | 28 | -1 | Ryan Ellis |
| 30 | 31 | +1 | Michael Affarano |
| 31 | 24 | -7 | Justin Jennings |
| 32 | 32 | — | Caleb Roark |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 6 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.0 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Erik Jones | 16.7 | 1 | +15.7 |
| 3 | Tyler Reddick | 6.2 | 3 | +3.2 |
| 5 | Christopher Bell | 10.7 | 5 | +5.7 |
| 9 | Cole Custer | 22.9 | 9 | +13.9 |
| 18 | Timmy Hill | 23.9 | 18 | +5.9 |
| 23 | John Hunter Nemechek | 19.1 | 23 | -3.9 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Erik Jones: has 9 career starts at Iowa Speedway with a 7.4 avg finish (3 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Tyler Reddick: was the model’s top pick based on 10 career starts at Iowa Speedway with a 12.5 avg finish, finishing P3 on the day.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2015 American Ethanol 200 Presented By Enogen?
Erik Jones won the 2015 American Ethanol 200 Presented By Enogen at Iowa Speedway driving for Kyle Busch Motorsports.
Where was the 2015 American Ethanol 200 Presented By Enogen held?
The 2015 American Ethanol 200 Presented By Enogen was held at Iowa Speedway on January 1, 2015.