UNOH 200 presented by ZLOOP

Bristol Motor Speedway — January 1, 2015

Ryan Blaney
Winner
202
Laps
32
Entries
6
Leaders

Ryan Blaney won the 2015 UNOH 200 presented by ZLOOP at Bristol Motor Speedway on January 1, 2015, leading 40 of 202 laps. Kyle Busch finished second; John Hunter Nemechek rounded out the podium. The race featured 6 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Thursday, January 1, 2015
Season
2015
Winner
Leaders
6 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 2 +1 Ryan Blaney
2 1 -1 Kyle Busch
3 7 +4 John Hunter Nemechek
4 17 +13 Daniel Hemric
5 3 -2 Brandon Jones
6 4 -2 Erik Jones
7 6 -1 Matt Crafton
8 19 +11 Tyler Reddick
9 12 +3 Johnny Sauter
10 18 +8 Dalton Sargeant
11 14 +3 John Wes Townley
12 15 +3 Timothy Peters
13 10 -3 David Gilliland
14 21 +7 Justin Haley
15 11 -4 Ben Kennedy
16 5 -11 Cole Custer
17 24 +7 Tyler Young
18 9 -9 Cameron Hayley
19 26 +7 Travis Kvapil
20 22 +2 Justin Jennings
21 20 -1 Ray Black Jr.
22 13 -9 Spencer Gallagher
23 23 Ty Dillon
24 31 +7 Norm Benning
25 29 +4 Jennifer Jo Cobb
26 32 +6 Wendell Chavous
27 30 +3 Korbin Forrister
28 28 Ryan Ellis
29 25 -4 Mason Mingus
30 16 -14 Daniel Suarez
31 8 -23 Caleb Holman
32 27 -5 Tyler Tanner
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 9 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.9 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Ryan Blaney 6.8 1 +5.8
2 Kyle Busch 15.6 2 +13.6
3 John Hunter Nemechek 20.1 3 +17.1
6 Erik Jones 17.7 6 +11.7
8 Tyler Reddick 9.9 8 +1.9
14 Justin Haley 21.2 14 +7.2
16 Cole Custer 23.0 16 +7.0
23 Ty Dillon 24.3 23 +1.3
30 Daniel Suarez 15.6 30 -14.4

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Ryan Blaney: has 28 career starts at Bristol Motor Speedway with a 11.6 avg finish (2 wins) — the model correctly identified this strength.
  • John Hunter Nemechek: was the biggest surprise, finishing P3 vs predicted P20. Track history: 19 starts, 10.8 avg finish.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2015 UNOH 200 presented by ZLOOP?
Ryan Blaney won the 2015 UNOH 200 presented by ZLOOP at Bristol Motor Speedway driving for Brad Keselowski Racing.
Where was the 2015 UNOH 200 presented by ZLOOP held?
The 2015 UNOH 200 presented by ZLOOP was held at Bristol Motor Speedway on January 1, 2015.