Ford Ecoboost 200

Homestead-Miami Speedway — November 17, 2017

Chase Briscoe
Winner
134
Laps
32
Entries
3
Leaders

Chase Briscoe won the 2017 Ford Ecoboost 200 at Homestead-Miami Speedway on November 17, 2017, leading 81 of 134 laps. Christopher Bell finished second; Johnny Sauter rounded out the podium. The race featured 3 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Friday, November 17, 2017
Season
2017
Winner
Leaders
3 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 1 Chase Briscoe
2 13 +11 Christopher Bell
3 11 +8 Johnny Sauter
4 6 +2 Ryan Truex
5 3 -2 Austin Cindric
6 8 +2 Matt Crafton
7 9 +2 Stewart Friesen
8 4 -4 Grant Enfinger
9 7 -2 Justin Haley
10 17 +7 Timothy Peters
11 15 +4 Regan Smith
12 12 Myatt Snider
13 10 -3 Kaz Grala
14 16 +2 Cody Coughlin
15 14 -1 John Hunter Nemechek
16 20 +4 T.J. Bell
17 18 +1 Austin Wayne Self
18 5 -13 Noah Gragson
19 2 -17 Ben Rhodes
20 19 -1 Dalton Sargeant
21 22 +1 Jordan Anderson
22 26 +4 Josh Reaume
23 24 +1 Wendell Chavous
24 23 -1 Robby Lyons
25 27 +2 Norm Benning
26 21 -5 Chris Windom
27 25 -2 Camden Murphy
28 30 +2 Bayley Currey
29 28 -1 Joe Nemechek
30 29 -1 Mike Senica
31 32 +1 Jennifer Jo Cobb
32 31 -1 Ray Ciccarelli
Stage Results
Driver Stage 1 Stage 2 Stage 3 Stage Pts
Chase Briscoe 2 3
Christopher Bell 1 2
Johnny Sauter 8 5
Ryan Truex 5 4
Austin Cindric 6 6
Matt Crafton 7 8
Stewart Friesen
Grant Enfinger 3
Justin Haley 9 10
Timothy Peters 10 7
Regan Smith
Myatt Snider
Kaz Grala
Cody Coughlin
John Hunter Nemechek
T.J. Bell
Austin Wayne Self
Noah Gragson 9
Ben Rhodes 4 1
Dalton Sargeant
Jordan Anderson
Josh Reaume
Wendell Chavous
Robby Lyons
Norm Benning
Chris Windom
Camden Murphy
Bayley Currey
Joe Nemechek
Mike Senica
Jennifer Jo Cobb
Ray Ciccarelli
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 7 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.5 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Chase Briscoe 11.9 1 +10.9
2 Christopher Bell 10.7 2 +8.7
4 Ryan Truex 15.4 4 +11.4
5 Austin Cindric 15.4 5 +10.4
9 Justin Haley 19.9 9 +10.9
15 John Hunter Nemechek 19.1 15 +4.1
18 Noah Gragson 21.4 18 +3.4

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Chase Briscoe: has 9 career starts at Homestead-Miami Speedway with a 8.4 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Christopher Bell: was the model’s top pick based on 12 career starts at Homestead-Miami Speedway with a 13.3 avg finish (1 win), finishing P2 on the day.
  • Ryan Truex: was the biggest surprise, finishing P4 vs predicted P15. Track history: 5 starts, 22.0 avg finish.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2017 Ford Ecoboost 200?
Chase Briscoe won the 2017 Ford Ecoboost 200 at Homestead-Miami Speedway driving for Brad Keselowski Racing.
Where was the 2017 Ford Ecoboost 200 held?
The 2017 Ford Ecoboost 200 was held at Homestead-Miami Speedway on November 17, 2017.