Strat 200
Las Vegas Motor Speedway — March 1, 2019
Kyle Busch
Winner
134
Laps
32
Entries
5
Leaders
Kyle Busch won the 2019 Strat 200 at Las Vegas Motor Speedway on March 1, 2019, leading 110 of 134 laps. Brett Moffitt finished second; Matt Crafton rounded out the podium. The race featured 5 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Friday, March 1, 2019
Track
Season
2019
Winner
Leaders
5 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | — | Kyle Busch |
| 2 | 2 | — | Brett Moffitt |
| 3 | 15 | +12 | Matt Crafton |
| 4 | 7 | +3 | Stewart Friesen |
| 5 | 3 | -2 | Harrison Burton |
| 6 | 9 | +3 | Sheldon Creed |
| 7 | 13 | +6 | Todd Gilliland |
| 8 | 11 | +3 | Johnny Sauter |
| 9 | 10 | +1 | Ryan Reed |
| 10 | 16 | +6 | Ross Chastain |
| 11 | 4 | -7 | Grant Enfinger |
| 12 | 18 | +6 | Timothy Peters |
| 13 | 12 | -1 | Natalie Decker |
| 14 | 25 | +11 | Korbin Forrister |
| 15 | 24 | +9 | Austin Wayne Self |
| 16 | 22 | +6 | Angela Ruch |
| 17 | 21 | +4 | Tyler Dippel |
| 18 | 14 | -4 | Anthony Alfredo |
| 19 | 17 | -2 | Jesse Little |
| 20 | 8 | -12 | Brennan Poole |
| 21 | 20 | -1 | Jordan Anderson |
| 22 | 26 | +4 | Gus Dean |
| 23 | 31 | +8 | Josh Reaume |
| 24 | 5 | -19 | Cory Roper |
| 25 | 19 | -6 | Ben Rhodes |
| 26 | 28 | +2 | Jesse Iwuji |
| 27 | 29 | +2 | Jennifer Jo Cobb |
| 28 | 32 | +4 | Norm Benning |
| 29 | 23 | -6 | Spencer Boyd |
| 30 | 6 | -24 | Austin Hill |
| 31 | 27 | -4 | Stefan Parsons |
| 32 | 30 | -2 | Scott Stenzel |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Busch | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Brett Moffitt | 2 | 10 | — | — |
| Matt Crafton | — | 9 | — | — |
| Stewart Friesen | 7 | 2 | — | — |
| Harrison Burton | 4 | 6 | — | — |
| Sheldon Creed | — | 7 | — | — |
| Todd Gilliland | 6 | 4 | — | — |
| Johnny Sauter | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Reed | 8 | — | — | — |
| Ross Chastain | 5 | 3 | — | — |
| Grant Enfinger | — | — | — | — |
| Timothy Peters | 9 | — | — | — |
| Natalie Decker | — | — | — | — |
| Korbin Forrister | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Wayne Self | — | — | — | — |
| Angela Ruch | — | — | — | — |
| Tyler Dippel | — | — | — | — |
| Anthony Alfredo | — | — | — | — |
| Jesse Little | — | — | — | — |
| Brennan Poole | — | — | — | — |
| Jordan Anderson | — | — | — | — |
| Gus Dean | — | — | — | — |
| Josh Reaume | — | — | — | — |
| Cory Roper | — | — | — | — |
| Ben Rhodes | 10 | 5 | — | — |
| Jesse Iwuji | — | — | — | — |
| Jennifer Jo Cobb | — | — | — | — |
| Norm Benning | — | — | — | — |
| Spencer Boyd | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Hill | 3 | 8 | — | — |
| Stefan Parsons | — | — | — | — |
| Scott Stenzel | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 6 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.0 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyle Busch | 17.0 | 1 | +16.0 |
| 7 | Todd Gilliland | 19.1 | 7 | +12.1 |
| 10 | Ross Chastain | 13.3 | 10 | +3.3 |
| 18 | Anthony Alfredo | 20.9 | 18 | +2.9 |
| 20 | Brennan Poole | 24.7 | 20 | +4.7 |
| 30 | Austin Hill | 20.9 | 30 | -9.1 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Kyle Busch: has 52 career starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with a 11.3 avg finish (7 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Ross Chastain: was the model’s top pick based on 28 career starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with a 14.2 avg finish (1 win), finishing P10 on the day.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2019 Strat 200?
Kyle Busch won the 2019 Strat 200 at Las Vegas Motor Speedway driving for Kyle Busch Motorsports.
Where was the 2019 Strat 200 held?
The 2019 Strat 200 was held at Las Vegas Motor Speedway on March 1, 2019.