NASCAR Xfinity Series at Bristol
Bristol Motor Speedway — September 20, 2024
Cole Custer
Winner
300
Laps
38
Entries
9
Leaders
Cole Custer won the 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Bristol at Bristol Motor Speedway on September 20, 2024, leading 104 of 300 laps. Sheldon Creed finished second; Chandler Smith rounded out the podium. The race featured 9 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Friday, September 20, 2024
Track
Season
2024
Winner
Leaders
9 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | +1 | Cole Custer |
| 2 | 14 | +12 | Sheldon Creed |
| 3 | 1 | -2 | Chandler Smith |
| 4 | 10 | +6 | Jesse Love |
| 5 | 16 | +11 | Ryan Truex |
| 6 | 8 | +2 | Brandon Jones |
| 7 | 13 | +6 | Dale Earnhardt, Jr. |
| 8 | 12 | +4 | Ryan Sieg |
| 9 | 20 | +11 | Sam Mayer |
| 10 | 5 | -5 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 11 | 3 | -8 | Anthony Alfredo |
| 12 | 7 | -5 | Jeremy Clements |
| 13 | 15 | +2 | Riley Herbst |
| 14 | 17 | +3 | Austin Hill |
| 15 | 21 | +6 | Sammy Smith |
| 16 | 11 | -5 | Parker Kligerman |
| 17 | 29 | +12 | Brennan Poole |
| 18 | 34 | +16 | Shane van Gisbergen |
| 19 | 19 | — | Joe Graf Jr. |
| 20 | 22 | +2 | Josh Bilicki |
| 21 | 32 | +11 | Josh Williams |
| 22 | 33 | +11 | Blaine Perkins |
| 23 | 36 | +13 | Kyle Sieg |
| 24 | 26 | +2 | Ryan Ellis |
| 25 | 25 | — | Jeb Burton |
| 26 | 9 | -17 | Kyle Weatherman |
| 27 | 35 | +8 | Logan Bearden |
| 28 | 30 | +2 | Carson Ware |
| 29 | 38 | +9 | Greg Van Alst |
| 30 | 4 | -26 | Justin Allgaier |
| 31 | 31 | — | Leland Honeyman Jr. |
| 32 | 18 | -14 | Chad Finchum |
| 33 | 23 | -10 | Stefan Parsons |
| 34 | 24 | -10 | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 35 | 6 | -29 | Jeffrey Earnhardt |
| 36 | 37 | +1 | Garrett Smithley |
| 37 | 27 | -10 | Parker Retzlaff |
| 38 | 28 | -10 | Austin Green |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 12 matched drivers, the model averaged 10.2 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cole Custer | 23.0 | 1 | +22.0 |
| 4 | Jesse Love | 21.0 | 4 | +17.0 |
| 5 | Ryan Truex | 15.6 | 5 | +10.6 |
| 10 | A.J. Allmendinger | 18.3 | 10 | +8.3 |
| 11 | Anthony Alfredo | 22.0 | 11 | +11.0 |
| 13 | Riley Herbst | 22.1 | 13 | +9.1 |
| 14 | Austin Hill | 20.2 | 14 | +6.2 |
| 17 | Brennan Poole | 23.1 | 17 | +6.1 |
| 18 | Shane van Gisbergen | 18.3 | 18 | +0.3 |
| 20 | Josh Bilicki | 29.4 | 20 | +9.4 |
| 30 | Justin Allgaier | 17.7 | 30 | -12.3 |
| 32 | Chad Finchum | 22.1 | 32 | -9.9 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Cole Custer: has 17 career starts at Bristol Motor Speedway with a 14.0 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Ryan Truex: was the model’s top pick based on 9 career starts at Bristol Motor Speedway with a 22.2 avg finish, finishing P5 on the day.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Bristol?
Cole Custer won the 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Bristol at Bristol Motor Speedway.
Where was the 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Bristol held?
The 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Bristol was held at Bristol Motor Speedway on September 20, 2024.