NASCAR Xfinity Series at Miami
Homestead-Miami Speedway — October 26, 2024
Austin Hill
Winner
200
Laps
38
Entries
6
Leaders
Austin Hill won the 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Miami at Homestead-Miami Speedway on October 26, 2024, leading 82 of 200 laps. Cole Custer finished second; Aric Almirola rounded out the podium. The race featured 6 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, October 26, 2024
Track
Season
2024
Winner
Leaders
6 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | +15 | Austin Hill |
| 2 | 4 | +2 | Cole Custer |
| 3 | 3 | — | Aric Almirola |
| 4 | 14 | +10 | Jesse Love |
| 5 | 2 | -3 | Sheldon Creed |
| 6 | 8 | +2 | Riley Herbst |
| 7 | 17 | +10 | Ryan Sieg |
| 8 | 5 | -3 | Justin Allgaier |
| 9 | 9 | — | Sam Mayer |
| 10 | 6 | -4 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 11 | 7 | -4 | Parker Kligerman |
| 12 | 13 | +1 | Connor Zilisch |
| 13 | 1 | -12 | Chandler Smith |
| 14 | 21 | +7 | Kyle Weatherman |
| 15 | 18 | +3 | Anthony Alfredo |
| 16 | 23 | +7 | Jeremy Clements |
| 17 | 25 | +8 | Shane van Gisbergen |
| 18 | 19 | +1 | Brennan Poole |
| 19 | 20 | +1 | Brandon Jones |
| 20 | 15 | -5 | Jeb Burton |
| 21 | 22 | +1 | Ryan Truex |
| 22 | 10 | -12 | Sammy Smith |
| 23 | 11 | -12 | Parker Retzlaff |
| 24 | 12 | -12 | William Sawalich |
| 25 | 31 | +6 | Ryan Ellis |
| 26 | 27 | +1 | Kyle Sieg |
| 27 | 24 | -3 | Josh Williams |
| 28 | 28 | — | Brad Perez |
| 29 | 34 | +5 | Austin Green |
| 30 | 26 | -4 | Leland Honeyman Jr. |
| 31 | 32 | +1 | Mason Maggio |
| 32 | 30 | -2 | Dylan Lupton |
| 33 | 29 | -4 | Dawson Cram |
| 34 | 35 | +1 | Blaine Perkins |
| 35 | 37 | +2 | Armani Williams |
| 36 | 36 | — | Thomas Annunziata |
| 37 | 33 | -4 | Nick Leitz |
| 38 | 38 | — | Matt DiBenedetto |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 11 matched drivers, the model averaged 11.1 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin Hill | 20.9 | 1 | +19.9 |
| 2 | Cole Custer | 22.9 | 2 | +20.9 |
| 4 | Jesse Love | 21.4 | 4 | +17.4 |
| 6 | Riley Herbst | 21.4 | 6 | +15.4 |
| 8 | Justin Allgaier | 18.3 | 8 | +10.3 |
| 10 | A.J. Allmendinger | 18.3 | 10 | +8.3 |
| 12 | Connor Zilisch | 22.9 | 12 | +10.9 |
| 15 | Anthony Alfredo | 20.9 | 15 | +5.9 |
| 17 | Shane van Gisbergen | 18.3 | 17 | +1.3 |
| 18 | Brennan Poole | 24.7 | 18 | +6.7 |
| 21 | Ryan Truex | 15.4 | 21 | -5.6 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Austin Hill: has 9 career starts at Homestead-Miami Speedway with a 9.2 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Ryan Truex: was the model’s top pick based on 5 career starts at Homestead-Miami Speedway with a 22.0 avg finish, finishing P21 on the day.
- Cole Custer: was the biggest surprise, finishing P2 vs predicted P23. Track history: 8 starts, 9.4 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Miami?
Austin Hill won the 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Miami at Homestead-Miami Speedway.
Where was the 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Miami held?
The 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Miami was held at Homestead-Miami Speedway on October 26, 2024.