NASCAR Xfinity Series at Miami
Homestead-Miami Speedway, October 26, 2024
Austin Hill
Winner
200
Laps
38
Entries
6
Leaders
Austin Hill won the 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Miami at Homestead-Miami Speedway on October 26, 2024, leading 82 of 200 laps. Cole Custer finished second; Aric Almirola rounded out the podium. The race featured 6 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, October 26, 2024
Track
Season
2024
Winner
Leaders
6 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | +15 | Austin Hill |
| 2 | 4 | +2 | Cole Custer |
| 3 | 3 | — | Aric Almirola |
| 4 | 14 | +10 | Jesse Love |
| 5 | 2 | -3 | Sheldon Creed |
| 6 | 8 | +2 | Riley Herbst |
| 7 | 17 | +10 | Ryan Sieg |
| 8 | 5 | -3 | Justin Allgaier |
| 9 | 9 | — | Sam Mayer |
| 10 | 6 | -4 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 11 | 7 | -4 | Parker Kligerman |
| 12 | 13 | +1 | Connor Zilisch |
| 13 | 1 | -12 | Chandler Smith |
| 14 | 21 | +7 | Kyle Weatherman |
| 15 | 18 | +3 | Anthony Alfredo |
| 16 | 23 | +7 | Jeremy Clements |
| 17 | 25 | +8 | Shane van Gisbergen |
| 18 | 19 | +1 | Brennan Poole |
| 19 | 20 | +1 | Brandon Jones |
| 20 | 15 | -5 | Jeb Burton |
| 21 | 22 | +1 | Ryan Truex |
| 22 | 10 | -12 | Sammy Smith |
| 23 | 11 | -12 | Parker Retzlaff |
| 24 | 12 | -12 | William Sawalich |
| 25 | 31 | +6 | Ryan Ellis |
| 26 | 27 | +1 | Kyle Sieg |
| 27 | 24 | -3 | Josh Williams |
| 28 | 28 | — | Brad Perez |
| 29 | 34 | +5 | Austin Green |
| 30 | 26 | -4 | Leland Honeyman Jr. |
| 31 | 32 | +1 | Mason Maggio |
| 32 | 30 | -2 | Dylan Lupton |
| 33 | 29 | -4 | Dawson Cram |
| 34 | 35 | +1 | Blaine Perkins |
| 35 | 37 | +2 | Armani Williams |
| 36 | 36 | — | Thomas Annunziata |
| 37 | 33 | -4 | Nick Leitz |
| 38 | 38 | — | Matt DiBenedetto |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 11 matched drivers, the model averaged 11.3 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin Hill | 26.4 | 1 | +25.4 |
| 2 | Cole Custer | 22.0 | 2 | +20.0 |
| 4 | Jesse Love | 21.0 | 4 | +17.0 |
| 6 | Riley Herbst | 19.9 | 6 | +13.9 |
| 8 | Justin Allgaier | 17.1 | 8 | +9.1 |
| 10 | A.J. Allmendinger | 17.1 | 10 | +7.1 |
| 12 | Connor Zilisch | 26.1 | 12 | +14.1 |
| 15 | Anthony Alfredo | 21.4 | 15 | +6.4 |
| 17 | Shane van Gisbergen | 18.3 | 17 | +1.3 |
| 18 | Brennan Poole | 23.4 | 18 | +5.4 |
| 21 | Ryan Truex | 16.9 | 21 | -4.1 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Austin Hill: has 9 career starts at Homestead-Miami Speedway with a 9.2 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Ryan Truex: was the model’s top pick based on 5 career starts at Homestead-Miami Speedway with a 22.0 avg finish, finishing P21 on the day.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Miami?
Austin Hill won the 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Miami at Homestead-Miami Speedway.
Where was the 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Miami held?
The 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Miami was held at Homestead-Miami Speedway on October 26, 2024.