NASCAR Xfinity Series at Nashville
Nashville Superspeedway — June 29, 2024
John Hunter Nemechek
Winner
188
Laps
38
Entries
3
Leaders
John Hunter Nemechek won the 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Nashville at Nashville Superspeedway on June 29, 2024, leading 76 of 188 laps. Chandler Smith finished second; Jesse Love rounded out the podium. The race featured 3 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, June 29, 2024
Track
Season
2024
Winner
Leaders
3 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | +14 | John Hunter Nemechek |
| 2 | 8 | +6 | Chandler Smith |
| 3 | 38 | +35 | Jesse Love |
| 4 | 5 | +1 | Austin Hill |
| 5 | 7 | +2 | Noah Gragson |
| 6 | 9 | +3 | Riley Herbst |
| 7 | 4 | -3 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 8 | 6 | -2 | Justin Allgaier |
| 9 | 2 | -7 | Cole Custer |
| 10 | 24 | +14 | Sam Mayer |
| 11 | 3 | -8 | Ryan Sieg |
| 12 | 30 | +18 | Carson Kvapil |
| 13 | 13 | — | Brandon Jones |
| 14 | 11 | -3 | Tyler Reddick |
| 15 | 28 | +13 | Shane van Gisbergen |
| 16 | 10 | -6 | Parker Kligerman |
| 17 | 21 | +4 | Parker Retzlaff |
| 18 | 17 | -1 | Anthony Alfredo |
| 19 | 19 | — | Jeb Burton |
| 20 | 1 | -19 | Ty Gibbs |
| 21 | 18 | -3 | Brennan Poole |
| 22 | 16 | -6 | Jeremy Clements |
| 23 | 23 | — | Ryan Ellis |
| 24 | 26 | +2 | Josh Williams |
| 25 | 25 | — | Leland Honeyman Jr. |
| 26 | 27 | +1 | Kyle Sieg |
| 27 | 20 | -7 | Ross Chastain |
| 28 | 31 | +3 | Hailie Deegan |
| 29 | 22 | -7 | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 30 | 12 | -18 | Sammy Smith |
| 31 | 29 | -2 | Kyle Weatherman |
| 32 | 37 | +5 | Logan Bearden |
| 33 | 14 | -19 | Sheldon Creed |
| 34 | 35 | +1 | Chad Finchum |
| 35 | 34 | -1 | Blaine Perkins |
| 36 | 36 | — | Garrett Smithley |
| 37 | 32 | -5 | Dawson Cram |
| 38 | 33 | -5 | Patrick Emerling |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 15 matched drivers, the model averaged 11.0 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | John Hunter Nemechek | 19.1 | 1 | +18.1 |
| 3 | Jesse Love | 21.4 | 3 | +18.4 |
| 4 | Austin Hill | 20.9 | 4 | +16.9 |
| 5 | Noah Gragson | 21.4 | 5 | +16.4 |
| 6 | Riley Herbst | 21.4 | 6 | +15.4 |
| 7 | A.J. Allmendinger | 18.3 | 7 | +11.3 |
| 8 | Justin Allgaier | 18.3 | 8 | +10.3 |
| 9 | Cole Custer | 22.9 | 9 | +13.9 |
| 14 | Tyler Reddick | 6.2 | 14 | -7.8 |
| 15 | Shane van Gisbergen | 18.3 | 15 | +3.3 |
| 18 | Anthony Alfredo | 20.9 | 18 | +2.9 |
| 20 | Ty Gibbs | 14.5 | 20 | -5.5 |
| 21 | Brennan Poole | 24.7 | 21 | +3.7 |
| 27 | Ross Chastain | 13.3 | 27 | -13.7 |
| 34 | Chad Finchum | 26.4 | 34 | -7.6 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- John Hunter Nemechek: has 6 career starts at Nashville Superspeedway with a 13.0 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Tyler Reddick: was the model’s top pick based on 8 career starts at Nashville Superspeedway with a 16.0 avg finish, finishing P14 on the day.
- Jesse Love: was the biggest surprise, finishing P3 vs predicted P21. Track history: 2 starts, 5.5 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Nashville?
John Hunter Nemechek won the 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Nashville at Nashville Superspeedway.
Where was the 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Nashville held?
The 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Nashville was held at Nashville Superspeedway on June 29, 2024.