NASCAR Xfinity Series at Phoenix
Phoenix Raceway — March 9, 2024
Chandler Smith
Winner
205
Laps
38
Entries
4
Leaders
Chandler Smith won the 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Phoenix at Phoenix Raceway on March 9, 2024, leading 88 of 205 laps. Jesse Love finished second; Sheldon Creed rounded out the podium. The race featured 4 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, March 9, 2024
Track
Season
2024
Winner
Leaders
4 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | +1 | Chandler Smith |
| 2 | 7 | +5 | Jesse Love |
| 3 | 6 | +3 | Sheldon Creed |
| 4 | 15 | +11 | Austin Hill |
| 5 | 1 | -4 | Cole Custer |
| 6 | 23 | +17 | Shane van Gisbergen |
| 7 | 11 | +4 | Brandon Jones |
| 8 | 12 | +4 | Parker Kligerman |
| 9 | 16 | +7 | Sammy Smith |
| 10 | 20 | +10 | Anthony Alfredo |
| 11 | 24 | +13 | Leland Honeyman Jr. |
| 12 | 13 | +1 | Ryan Sieg |
| 13 | 31 | +18 | Blaine Perkins |
| 14 | 29 | +15 | B.J. McLeod |
| 15 | 25 | +10 | Jeremy Clements |
| 16 | 14 | -2 | Kyle Weatherman |
| 17 | 34 | +17 | Nick Leitz |
| 18 | 10 | -8 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 19 | 32 | +13 | J.J. Yeley |
| 20 | 22 | +2 | Brennan Poole |
| 21 | 30 | +9 | Ryan Ellis |
| 22 | 3 | -19 | Corey Heim |
| 23 | 28 | +5 | William Byron |
| 24 | 4 | -20 | Riley Herbst |
| 25 | 26 | +1 | Kyle Sieg |
| 26 | 38 | +12 | Garrett Smithley |
| 27 | 27 | — | Josh Williams |
| 28 | 33 | +5 | Dawson Cram |
| 29 | 5 | -24 | Justin Allgaier |
| 30 | 35 | +5 | Frankie Muniz |
| 31 | 8 | -23 | Aric Almirola |
| 32 | 9 | -23 | John Hunter Nemechek |
| 33 | 19 | -14 | Hailie Deegan |
| 34 | 21 | -13 | Sam Mayer |
| 35 | 18 | -17 | Parker Retzlaff |
| 36 | 17 | -19 | Jeb Burton |
| 37 | 37 | — | Ryan Vargas |
| 38 | 36 | -2 | Patrick Emerling |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 14 matched drivers, the model averaged 10.1 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Jesse Love | 21.0 | 2 | +19.0 |
| 4 | Austin Hill | 20.2 | 4 | +16.2 |
| 5 | Cole Custer | 23.0 | 5 | +18.0 |
| 6 | Shane van Gisbergen | 18.3 | 6 | +12.3 |
| 10 | Anthony Alfredo | 22.0 | 10 | +12.0 |
| 14 | B.J. McLeod | 25.6 | 14 | +11.6 |
| 18 | A.J. Allmendinger | 18.3 | 18 | +0.3 |
| 19 | J.J. Yeley | 28.1 | 19 | +9.1 |
| 20 | Brennan Poole | 23.1 | 20 | +3.1 |
| 22 | Corey Heim | 20.1 | 22 | -1.9 |
| 23 | William Byron | 10.3 | 23 | -12.7 |
| 24 | Riley Herbst | 22.1 | 24 | -1.9 |
| 29 | Justin Allgaier | 17.7 | 29 | -11.3 |
| 32 | John Hunter Nemechek | 20.1 | 32 | -11.9 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Chandler Smith: has 9 career starts at Phoenix Raceway with a 6.1 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- William Byron: was the model’s top pick based on 21 career starts at Phoenix Raceway with a 14.3 avg finish (1 win), finishing P23 on the day.
- Jesse Love: was the biggest surprise, finishing P2 vs predicted P21. Track history: 6 starts, 4.0 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Phoenix?
Chandler Smith won the 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Phoenix at Phoenix Raceway.
Where was the 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Phoenix held?
The 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Phoenix was held at Phoenix Raceway on March 9, 2024.