NASCAR Xfinity Series at Watkins Glen
Watkins Glen International — September 14, 2024
Connor Zilisch
Winner
90
Laps
38
Entries
7
Leaders
Connor Zilisch won the 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Watkins Glen at Watkins Glen International on September 14, 2024, leading 45 of 90 laps. Sheldon Creed finished second; A.J. Allmendinger rounded out the podium. The race featured 7 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, September 14, 2024
Season
2024
Winner
Leaders
7 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | — | Connor Zilisch |
| 2 | 9 | +7 | Sheldon Creed |
| 3 | 3 | — | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 4 | 6 | +2 | Chandler Smith |
| 5 | 13 | +8 | Shane van Gisbergen |
| 6 | 21 | +15 | Ross Chastain |
| 7 | 19 | +12 | Parker Kligerman |
| 8 | 11 | +3 | Jesse Love |
| 9 | 33 | +24 | Joey Logano |
| 10 | 26 | +16 | Josh Bilicki |
| 11 | 27 | +16 | Austin Green |
| 12 | 7 | -5 | William Byron |
| 13 | 12 | -1 | Riley Herbst |
| 14 | 23 | +9 | Parker Retzlaff |
| 15 | 35 | +20 | Ryan Ellis |
| 16 | 32 | +16 | Leland Honeyman Jr. |
| 17 | 4 | -13 | Justin Allgaier |
| 18 | 18 | — | Jeremy Clements |
| 19 | 17 | -2 | Sammy Smith |
| 20 | 5 | -15 | Sam Mayer |
| 21 | 15 | -6 | Cole Custer |
| 22 | 14 | -8 | Ryan Sieg |
| 23 | 31 | +8 | Brennan Poole |
| 24 | 37 | +13 | Ed Jones |
| 25 | 2 | -23 | Ty Gibbs |
| 26 | 8 | -18 | Aric Almirola |
| 27 | 34 | +7 | RC Enerson |
| 28 | 16 | -12 | Brandon Jones |
| 29 | 30 | +1 | Thomas Annunziata |
| 30 | 25 | -5 | Mike Skeen |
| 31 | 28 | -3 | Jeb Burton |
| 32 | 38 | +6 | Josh Williams |
| 33 | 10 | -23 | Austin Hill |
| 34 | 24 | -10 | Anthony Alfredo |
| 35 | 20 | -15 | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 36 | 22 | -14 | Alon Day |
| 37 | 36 | -1 | Kyle Sieg |
| 38 | 29 | -9 | Kyle Weatherman |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 15 matched drivers, the model averaged 9.3 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Connor Zilisch | 21.4 | 1 | +20.4 |
| 3 | A.J. Allmendinger | 16.5 | 3 | +13.5 |
| 5 | Shane van Gisbergen | 12.7 | 5 | +7.7 |
| 6 | Ross Chastain | 16.2 | 6 | +10.2 |
| 8 | Jesse Love | 21.4 | 8 | +13.4 |
| 9 | Joey Logano | 12.7 | 9 | +3.7 |
| 10 | Josh Bilicki | 29.0 | 10 | +19.0 |
| 12 | William Byron | 11.5 | 12 | -0.5 |
| 13 | Riley Herbst | 25.7 | 13 | +12.7 |
| 17 | Justin Allgaier | 16.8 | 17 | -0.2 |
| 21 | Cole Custer | 25.7 | 21 | +4.7 |
| 23 | Brennan Poole | 21.4 | 23 | -1.6 |
| 25 | Ty Gibbs | 17.2 | 25 | -7.8 |
| 33 | Austin Hill | 21.4 | 33 | -11.6 |
| 34 | Anthony Alfredo | 21.4 | 34 | -12.6 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Connor Zilisch: has 6 career starts at Watkins Glen International with a 5.5 avg finish (3 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- William Byron: was the model’s top pick based on 8 career starts at Watkins Glen International with a 12.8 avg finish (1 win), finishing P12 on the day.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Watkins Glen?
Connor Zilisch won the 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Watkins Glen at Watkins Glen International.
Where was the 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Watkins Glen held?
The 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Watkins Glen was held at Watkins Glen International on September 14, 2024.