Ford 300

Homestead-Miami Speedway — January 1, 2008

Carl Edwards

Winner

200

Laps

Entries

Leaders

Carl Edwards won the 2008 Ford 300 at Homestead-Miami Speedway on January 1, 2008, leading 66 of 200 laps. Kyle Busch finished second; Brad Keselowski rounded out the podium. The race featured 8 different leaders.

Race Details

Date

Tuesday, January 1, 2008

Track

Homestead-Miami Speedway

Season

2008

Winner

Carl Edwards

Leaders

8 drivers

Sort by

Pos	Start	+/-	Driver	Team	Manufacturer	Laps	Interval	Status	Led	Pts
1	2	+1	Carl Edwards	Roush Fenway Racing		200	—	Running	66	190
2	11	+9	Kyle Busch	Joe Gibbs Racing		200	—	Running	71	180
3	6	+3	Brad Keselowski	JR Motorsports		200	—	Running	2	170
4	15	+11	Jason Leffler	Braun Racing		200	—	Running	—	160
5	13	+8	Clint Bowyer	Richard Childress Racing		200	—	Running	—	155
6	27	+21	Scott Wimmer	Richard Childress Racing		200	—	Running	—	0
7	8	+1	Denny Hamlin	Braun Racing		200	—	Running	—	146
8	7	-1	Dale Earnhardt Jr.	JR Motorsports		200	—	Running	—	142
9	21	+12	Kelly Bires	JTG Daugherty Racing		200	—	Running	1	143
10	1	-9	Joey Logano	Joe Gibbs Racing		200	—	Running	21	139
11	19	+8	Ryan Newman	Kevin Harvick Inc.		200	—	Running	21	135
12	30	+18	Josh Wise	Michael Waltrip Racing		200	—	Running	—	127
13	33	+20	David Reutimann	Michael Waltrip Racing		200	—	Running	—	124
14	10	-4	Mike Bliss	Phoenix Racing		200	—	Running	—	121
15	22	+7	Steve Wallace	Rusty Wallace Racing		200	—	Running	—	118
16	28	+12	David Stremme	Team Rensi Motorsports		200	—	Running	—	115
17	12	-5	Juan Pablo Montoya	Chip Ganassi Racing	Dodge	200	—	Running	—	112
18	34	+16	Mike Wallace	Germain Racing		200	—	Running	—	109
19	5	-14	Jamie McMurray	Roush Fenway Racing		200	—	Running	—	106
20	31	+11	Chase Miller	Richard Petty Motorsports	Dodge	200	—	Running	—	103
21	35	+14	Bobby Hamilton Jr.	Team Rensi Motorsports		200	—	Running	—	100
22	14	-8	Jason Keller	Baker Curb Racing		199	—	Running	—	97
23	3	-20	David Ragan	Roush Fenway Racing		198	—	Running	—	94
24	38	+14	Patrick Sheltra	Sheltra Motorsports	Dodge	198	—	Running	—	91
25	41	+16	Danny Efland	JD Motorsports		195	—	Running	—	88
26	36	+10	D.J. Kennington	MacDonald Motorsports	Dodge	194	—	Running	—	85
27	37	+10	Marc Davis	FitzBradshaw Racing	Dodge	194	—	Running	—	82
28	26	-2	Justin Allgaier	Penske Racing	Dodge	192	—	DNF - Crash	—	79
29	43	+14	David Green	JD Motorsports		192	—	Running	—	76
30	18	-12	Jeremy Clements	Jeremy Clements Racing		182	—	DNF	—	73
31	25	-6	Marcos Ambrose	JTG Daugherty Racing		178	—	DNF - Crash	—	70
32	40	+8	Eric McClure	Front Row Motorsports		169	—	Running	—	67
33	24	-9	Kenny Wallace	Robinson-Blakeney Racing		168	—	DNF - Crash	—	64
34	9	-25	Bryan Clauson	Chip Ganassi Racing	Dodge	157	—	DNF - Engine	1	66
35	4	-31	Jeff Burton	Richard Childress Racing		148	—	Running	17	63
36	29	-7	Michael Annett	Germain Racing		138	—	DNF - Crash	—	55
37	20	-17	Scott Lagasse Jr.	CJM Racing		100	—	DNF - Crash	—	52
38	39	+1	Brandon Whitt	Specialty Racing		16	—	DNF	—	49
39	16	-23	Kenny Hendrick	Stanton Barrett Racing		12	—	DNF	—	46
40	42	+2	Brad Teague	Means Motorsports		10	—	DNF	—	43
41	23	-18	Kertus Davis	Robinson-Blakeney Racing		9	—	DNF	—	40
42	17	-25	Terry Cook	MSRP Motorsports		5	—	DNF	—	37
43	32	-11	Todd Bodine	MSRP Motorsports		4	—	DNF	—	34

Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 5 matched drivers, the model averaged 7.8 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Average

Pos	Driver	Predicted	Actual	Delta	Conf.
2	Kyle Busch	17.0	2	+15.0	Coinflip
3	Brad Keselowski	11.2	3	+8.2	Moderate
7	Denny Hamlin	8.2	7	+1.2	High Confidence
10	Joey Logano	14.7	10	+4.7	Coinflip
28	Justin Allgaier	18.3	28	-9.7	Coinflip

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

Carl Edwards: has 20 career starts at Homestead-Miami Speedway with a 10.6 avg finish (3 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 27 career starts at Homestead-Miami Speedway with a 10.5 avg finish (3 wins), finishing P7 on the day.
Kyle Busch: was the biggest surprise, finishing P2 vs predicted P17. Track history: 38 starts, 12.1 avg finish.

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Track

Homestead-Miami Speedway

Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2008 Ford 300?

Carl Edwards won the 2008 Ford 300 at Homestead-Miami Speedway driving for Roush Fenway Racing.

Where was the 2008 Ford 300 held?

The 2008 Ford 300 was held at Homestead-Miami Speedway on January 1, 2008.