Virginia 529 College Savings 250

Richmond Raceway — January 1, 2009

Carl Edwards

Winner

250

Laps

Entries

Leaders

Carl Edwards won the 2009 Virginia 529 College Savings 250 at Richmond Raceway on January 1, 2009, leading 24 of 250 laps. Kevin Harvick finished second; Kyle Busch rounded out the podium. The race featured 5 different leaders.

Race Details

Date

Thursday, January 1, 2009

Track

Richmond Raceway

Season

2009

Winner

Carl Edwards

Leaders

5 drivers

Sort by

Pos	Start	+/-	Driver	Team	Manufacturer	Laps	Interval	Status	Led	Pts
1	39	+38	Carl Edwards	Roush Fenway Racing		250	—	Running	24	190
2	18	+16	Kevin Harvick	Kevin Harvick Inc.		250	—	Running	25	175
3	2	-1	Kyle Busch	Joe Gibbs Racing		250	—	Running	30	170
4	5	+1	Brad Keselowski	JR Motorsports		250	—	Running	70	165
5	15	+10	David Reutimann	Braun Racing		250	—	Running	—	155
6	6	—	Martin Truex Jr.	Phoenix Racing		250	—	Running	—	150
7	9	+2	Trevor Bayne	CJM Racing		250	—	Running	—	146
8	19	+11	Justin Allgaier	Penske Racing	Dodge	250	—	Running	—	142
9	29	+20	Steve Wallace	Rusty Wallace Racing		250	—	Running	—	138
10	8	-2	Scott Speed	Michael Waltrip Racing		250	—	Running	—	134
11	4	-7	Clint Bowyer	Richard Childress Racing		250	—	Running	—	130
12	10	-2	Greg Biffle	Roush Fenway Racing		250	—	Running	—	127
13	3	-10	Paul Menard	Yates Racing		250	—	Running	—	124
14	25	+11	Erik Darnell	Roush Fenway Racing		250	—	Running	—	121
15	16	+1	Jason Keller	Baker Curb Racing		250	—	Running	—	118
16	24	+8	Mike Bliss	Key Motorsports		250	—	Running	—	115
17	1	-16	Denny Hamlin	Joe Gibbs Racing		250	—	Running	101	122
18	17	-1	Scott Wimmer	JR Motorsports		249	—	Running	—	109
19	23	+4	Michael McDowell	Whitney Motorsports	Dodge	248	—	Running	—	106
20	35	+15	Travis Kvapil	Jay Robinson Racing		248	—	Running	—	103
21	12	-9	Brendan Gaughan	Rusty Wallace Racing		248	—	Running	—	100
22	38	+16	Tony Raines	Front Row Motorsports		248	—	Running	—	97
23	31	+8	Bobby Hamilton Jr.	MacDonald Motorsports	Dodge	248	—	Running	—	94
24	41	+17	Mike Wallace	JD Motorsports		248	—	Running	—	91
25	36	+11	Michael Annett	Germain Racing		247	—	Running	—	88
26	27	+1	Kenny Wallace	Jay Robinson Racing		246	—	Running	—	85
27	32	+5	Travis Kittleson	Stanton Barrett Racing		246	—	Running	—	82
28	37	+9	Robert Richardson Jr.	R3 Motorsports		246	—	Running	—	79
29	42	+13	Eric McClure	Team Rensi Motorsports		245	—	Running	—	76
30	30	—	Benny Gordon	VSI Racing		245	—	Running	—	73
31	40	+9	Justin Marks	Braun Racing		245	—	Running	—	70
32	14	-18	Jason Leffler	Braun Racing		227	—	Running	—	67
33	34	+1	Matt Carter	Specialty Racing		77	—	DNF	—	64
34	43	+9	Dennis Setzer	K-Automotive Motorsports	Dodge	47	—	DNF	—	61
35	22	-13	Shelby Howard	ML Motorsports		40	—	DNF - Crash	—	58
36	33	-3	Joe Nemechek	NEMCO Motorsports		32	—	DNF	—	55
37	26	-11	Josh Wise	Fitz Motorsports		23	—	DNF	—	52
38	7	-31	Mark Green	Jay Robinson Racing		22	—	DNF	—	49
39	11	-28	Justin Hobgood	MSRP Motorsports		18	—	DNF	—	46
40	28	-12	J.C. Stout	JD Motorsports		17	—	DNF	—	43
41	13	-28	Coleman Pressley	JTG Daugherty Racing		16	—	DNF	—	40
42	21	-21	Johnny Chapman	MSRP Motorsports		8	—	DNF	—	37
43	20	-23	Kevin Lepage	Twins Motorsports	Dodge	0	—	DNF - Crash	—	34

Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 6 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.7 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average

Pos	Driver	Predicted	Actual	Delta	Conf.
3	Kyle Busch	15.6	3	+12.6	Coinflip
4	Brad Keselowski	12.0	4	+8.0	Coinflip
6	Martin Truex, Jr.	13.8	6	+7.8	Coinflip
8	Justin Allgaier	17.7	8	+9.7	Moderate
17	Denny Hamlin	6.8	17	-10.2	High Confidence
19	Michael McDowell	15.0	19	-4.0	Coinflip

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

Carl Edwards: has 12 career starts at Richmond Raceway with a 8.3 avg finish (3 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 27 career starts at Richmond Raceway with a 9.8 avg finish (3 wins), finishing P17 on the day.
Kyle Busch: was the biggest surprise, finishing P3 vs predicted P16. Track history: 34 starts, 10.2 avg finish.

Track Preview →

Explore More

Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2009 Virginia 529 College Savings 250?

Carl Edwards won the 2009 Virginia 529 College Savings 250 at Richmond Raceway driving for Roush Fenway Racing.

Where was the 2009 Virginia 529 College Savings 250 held?

The 2009 Virginia 529 College Savings 250 was held at Richmond Raceway on January 1, 2009.