Zippo 200

Watkins Glen International — January 1, 2009

Marcos Ambrose

Winner

Laps

Entries

Leaders

Marcos Ambrose won the 2009 Zippo 200 at Watkins Glen International on January 1, 2009, leading 26 of 82 laps. Kyle Busch finished second; Carl Edwards rounded out the podium. The race featured 7 different leaders.

Race Details

Date

Thursday, January 1, 2009

Track

Watkins Glen International

Season

2009

Winner

Marcos Ambrose

Leaders

7 drivers

Sort by

Pos	Start	+/-	Driver	Team	Manufacturer	Laps	Interval	Status	Led	Pts
1	2	+1	Marcos Ambrose	JTG Daugherty Racing		82	—	Running	26	195
2	7	+5	Kyle Busch	Joe Gibbs Racing		82	—	Running	15	175
3	11	+8	Carl Edwards	Roush Fenway Racing		82	—	Running	25	170
4	1	-3	Kevin Harvick	Kevin Harvick Inc.		82	—	Running	12	165
5	10	+5	Ron Fellows	JR Motorsports		82	—	Running	—	155
6	17	+11	Jeff Burton	Richard Childress Racing		82	—	Running	—	150
7	18	+11	Greg Biffle	Roush Fenway Racing		82	—	Running	—	146
8	21	+13	David Ragan	Roush Fenway Racing		82	—	Running	1	147
9	14	+5	Brad Keselowski	JR Motorsports		82	—	Running	—	138
10	4	-6	Scott Speed	Michael Waltrip Racing		82	—	Running	1	139
11	9	-2	Boris Said	Jay Robinson Racing		82	—	Running	—	130
12	22	+10	Steve Wallace	Rusty Wallace Racing		82	—	Running	2	132
13	20	+7	Dave Blaney	MSRP Motorsports		82	—	Running	—	124
14	3	-11	Robby Gordon	Robby Gordon Motorsports		82	—	Running	—	121
15	28	+13	Jason Leffler	Braun Racing		82	—	Running	—	118
16	26	+10	Jason Keller	Baker Curb Racing		82	—	Running	—	115
17	27	+10	Justin Allgaier	Penske Racing	Dodge	82	—	Running	—	112
18	16	-2	J.R. Fitzpatrick	Kevin Harvick Inc.		82	—	Running	—	109
19	24	+5	Kenny Wallace	Jay Robinson Racing		82	—	Running	—	106
20	35	+15	Michael Annett	Germain Racing		82	—	Running	—	103
21	31	+10	Morgan Shepherd	Faith Motorsports (Shepherd)		82	—	Running	—	100
22	37	+15	Brendan Gaughan	Rusty Wallace Racing		82	—	Running	—	97
23	41	+18	Sean Murphy	MacDonald Motorsports	Dodge	82	—	Running	—	94
24	36	+12	Jeffrey Earnhardt	Key Motorsports		82	—	Running	—	91
25	38	+13	Danny O'Quinn Jr.	JD Motorsports		82	—	Running	—	88
26	25	-1	Joe Nemechek	NEMCO Motorsports		82	—	Running	—	85
27	19	-8	Michael McDowell	Whitney Motorsports	Dodge	82	—	Running	—	82
28	39	+11	Tony Raines	Front Row Motorsports	Dodge	81	—	DNF - Crash	—	79
29	23	-6	Paul Menard	Yates Racing		80	—	Running	—	76
30	40	+10	Eric McClure	Team Rensi Motorsports		80	—	Running	—	73
31	42	+11	Chris Cook	R3 Motorsports		79	—	Running	—	70
32	13	-19	Justin Marks	Braun Racing		76	—	DNF	—	67
33	6	-27	Joey Logano	Joe Gibbs Racing		69	—	DNF - Crash	—	64
34	5	-29	Denny Hamlin	CJM Racing		68	—	DNF	—	61
35	12	-23	Ryan Newman	Phoenix Racing		51	—	DNF	—	58
36	34	-2	Matt Carter	Specialty Racing		50	—	DNF - Crash	—	55
37	8	-29	Brian Vickers	Braun Racing		31	—	DNF	—	52
38	33	-5	Mark Green	Jay Robinson Racing		28	—	DNF	—	49
39	43	+4	Mike Wallace	JD Motorsports		23	—	DNF	—	46
40	15	-25	Antonio Perez	TW Racing	Dodge	22	—	DNF	—	43
41	29	-12	Tom Hubert	Rick Ware Racing		14	—	DNF	—	40
42	30	-12	Kris Szekeres	Fitz Motorsports		9	—	DNF	—	37
43	32	-11	Mike Bliss	MSRP Motorsports		4	—	DNF	—	34

Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 6 matched drivers, the model averaged 11.8 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos	Driver	Predicted	Actual	Delta	Conf.
2	Kyle Busch	13.0	2	+11.0	Coinflip
9	Brad Keselowski	16.7	9	+7.7	High Confidence
17	Justin Allgaier	16.8	17	-0.2	Moderate
27	Michael McDowell	13.0	27	-14.0	Moderate
33	Joey Logano	12.7	33	-20.3	Moderate
34	Denny Hamlin	16.7	34	-17.3	Moderate

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

Marcos Ambrose: has 11 career starts at Watkins Glen International with a 5.4 avg finish (5 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
Joey Logano: was the model’s top pick based on 23 career starts at Watkins Glen International with a 13.2 avg finish (3 wins), finishing P33 on the day.
Kyle Busch: was the biggest surprise, finishing P2 vs predicted P13. Track history: 31 starts, 13.5 avg finish.

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Track

Watkins Glen International

Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2009 Zippo 200?

Marcos Ambrose won the 2009 Zippo 200 at Watkins Glen International driving for JTG Daugherty Racing.

Where was the 2009 Zippo 200 held?

The 2009 Zippo 200 was held at Watkins Glen International on January 1, 2009.