Bristol 200
Bristol Motor Speedway — January 1, 2012
Timothy Peters
Winner
204
Laps
36
Entries
1
Leaders
Timothy Peters won the 2012 Bristol 200 at Bristol Motor Speedway on January 1, 2012, leading 204 of 204 laps. Parker Kligerman finished second; Ross Chastain rounded out the podium.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, January 1, 2012
Track
Season
2012
Winner
Leaders
1 driver
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | +1 | Timothy Peters |
| 2 | 9 | +7 | Parker Kligerman |
| 3 | 15 | +12 | Ross Chastain |
| 4 | 8 | +4 | Joey Coulter |
| 5 | 11 | +6 | Brendan Gaughan |
| 6 | 5 | -1 | Ryan Blaney |
| 7 | 28 | +21 | James Buescher |
| 8 | 17 | +9 | Ron Hornaday Jr. |
| 9 | 7 | -2 | Matt Crafton |
| 10 | 32 | +22 | Justin Lofton |
| 11 | 10 | -1 | Johnny Sauter |
| 12 | 21 | +9 | Ryan Sieg |
| 13 | 19 | +6 | David Starr |
| 14 | 27 | +13 | Jason A. White (Virginia) |
| 15 | 23 | +8 | B.J. McLeod |
| 16 | 29 | +13 | Miguel Paludo |
| 17 | 22 | +5 | Brian Scott |
| 18 | 6 | -12 | Nelson Piquet Jr. |
| 19 | 20 | +1 | Caleb Holman |
| 20 | 13 | -7 | Tyler Young |
| 21 | 12 | -9 | Ty Dillon |
| 22 | 30 | +8 | Bryan Silas |
| 23 | 24 | +1 | Chad McCumbee |
| 24 | 25 | +1 | John Wes Townley |
| 25 | 4 | -21 | Brad Keselowski |
| 26 | 35 | +9 | Russ Dugger |
| 27 | 36 | +9 | Norm Benning |
| 28 | 1 | -27 | Cale Gale |
| 29 | 16 | -13 | Jake Crum |
| 30 | 18 | -12 | Dakoda Armstrong |
| 31 | 3 | -28 | Todd Bodine |
| 32 | 26 | -6 | Jeff Agnew |
| 33 | 34 | +1 | Chris Jones |
| 34 | 14 | -20 | Clay Greenfield |
| 35 | 31 | -4 | Dennis Setzer |
| 36 | 33 | -3 | Johnny Chapman |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 6 matched drivers, the model averaged 7.6 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Ross Chastain | 13.8 | 3 | +10.8 |
| 6 | Ryan Blaney | 6.8 | 6 | +0.8 |
| 13 | David Starr | 20.2 | 13 | +7.2 |
| 15 | B.J. McLeod | 25.6 | 15 | +10.6 |
| 21 | Ty Dillon | 24.3 | 21 | +3.3 |
| 25 | Brad Keselowski | 12.0 | 25 | -13.0 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Timothy Peters: has 13 career starts at Bristol Motor Speedway with a 16.9 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Ryan Blaney: was the model’s top pick based on 28 career starts at Bristol Motor Speedway with a 11.6 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P6 on the day.
- Ross Chastain: was the biggest surprise, finishing P3 vs predicted P14. Track history: 25 starts, 15.5 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2012 Bristol 200?
Timothy Peters won the 2012 Bristol 200 at Bristol Motor Speedway driving for Red Horse Racing.
Where was the 2012 Bristol 200 held?
The 2012 Bristol 200 was held at Bristol Motor Speedway on January 1, 2012.