Ford EcoBoost 200
Homestead-Miami Speedway — January 1, 2012
Cale Gale
Winner
140
Laps
36
Entries
7
Leaders
Cale Gale won the 2012 Ford EcoBoost 200 at Homestead-Miami Speedway on January 1, 2012, leading 1 of 140 laps. Kyle Busch finished second; Joey Coulter rounded out the podium. The race featured 7 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, January 1, 2012
Track
Season
2012
Winner
Leaders
7 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | +4 | Cale Gale |
| 2 | 6 | +4 | Kyle Busch |
| 3 | 11 | +8 | Joey Coulter |
| 4 | 4 | — | Nelson Piquet Jr. |
| 5 | 7 | +2 | Miguel Paludo |
| 6 | 10 | +4 | Johnny Sauter |
| 7 | 1 | -6 | Parker Kligerman |
| 8 | 14 | +6 | Timothy Peters |
| 9 | 12 | +3 | Justin Lofton |
| 10 | 18 | +8 | Ross Chastain |
| 11 | 19 | +8 | Todd Bodine |
| 12 | 9 | -3 | Matt Crafton |
| 13 | 17 | +4 | James Buescher |
| 14 | 21 | +7 | Ryan Sieg |
| 15 | 28 | +13 | German Quiroga |
| 16 | 29 | +13 | David Starr |
| 17 | 22 | +5 | Jason A. White (Virginia) |
| 18 | 30 | +12 | Tim George Jr. |
| 19 | 25 | +6 | Jason Leffler |
| 20 | 8 | -12 | Ron Hornaday Jr. |
| 21 | 24 | +3 | Mario Gosselin |
| 22 | 20 | -2 | Jake Crum |
| 23 | 13 | -10 | Max Gresham |
| 24 | 26 | +2 | Jeff Agnew |
| 25 | 3 | -22 | Ty Dillon |
| 26 | 36 | +10 | Travis Miller |
| 27 | 2 | -25 | Kyle Larson |
| 28 | 16 | -12 | Ryan Blaney |
| 29 | 35 | +6 | Norm Benning |
| 30 | 34 | +4 | Ryan Lynch |
| 31 | 32 | +1 | Jennifer Jo Cobb |
| 32 | 15 | -17 | John Wes Townley |
| 33 | 33 | — | Bryan Silas |
| 34 | 23 | -11 | Dusty Davis |
| 35 | 27 | -8 | Chris Jones |
| 36 | 31 | -5 | Blake Koch |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 6 matched drivers, the model averaged 9.7 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kyle Busch | 17.0 | 2 | +15.0 |
| 10 | Ross Chastain | 13.3 | 10 | +3.3 |
| 16 | David Starr | 20.9 | 16 | +4.9 |
| 25 | Ty Dillon | 23.4 | 25 | -1.6 |
| 27 | Kyle Larson | 12.7 | 27 | -14.3 |
| 28 | Ryan Blaney | 9.2 | 28 | -18.8 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Ryan Blaney: was the model’s top pick based on 16 career starts at Homestead-Miami Speedway with a 11.7 avg finish, finishing P28 on the day.
- Kyle Busch: was the biggest surprise, finishing P2 vs predicted P17. Track history: 38 starts, 12.1 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2012 Ford EcoBoost 200?
Cale Gale won the 2012 Ford EcoBoost 200 at Homestead-Miami Speedway driving for Eddie Sharp Racing.
Where was the 2012 Ford EcoBoost 200 held?
The 2012 Ford EcoBoost 200 was held at Homestead-Miami Speedway on January 1, 2012.