History 300 at Charlotte
Charlotte Motor Speedway — May 26, 2012
Brad Keselowski
Winner
200
Laps
43
Entries
7
Leaders
Brad Keselowski won the 2012 History 300 at Charlotte at Charlotte Motor Speedway on May 26, 2012, leading 67 of 200 laps. Denny Hamlin finished second; Kyle Busch rounded out the podium. The race featured 7 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, May 26, 2012
Track
Season
2012
Winner
Leaders
7 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | +9 | Brad Keselowski |
| 2 | 13 | +11 | Denny Hamlin |
| 3 | 12 | +9 | Kyle Busch |
| 4 | 7 | +3 | Kevin Harvick |
| 5 | 6 | +1 | Elliott Sadler |
| 6 | 1 | -5 | Joey Logano |
| 7 | 8 | +1 | James Buescher |
| 8 | 16 | +8 | Justin Allgaier |
| 9 | 5 | -4 | Sam Hornish Jr. |
| 10 | 21 | +11 | Joey Coulter |
| 11 | 2 | -9 | Austin Dillon |
| 12 | 20 | +8 | Mike Bliss |
| 13 | 3 | -10 | Danica Patrick |
| 14 | 22 | +8 | Michael Annett |
| 15 | 19 | +4 | Mike Wallace |
| 16 | 23 | +7 | Reed Sorenson |
| 17 | 14 | -3 | Kasey Kahne |
| 18 | 25 | +7 | Jeremy Clements |
| 19 | 24 | +5 | Timmy Hill |
| 20 | 28 | +8 | Tayler Malsam |
| 21 | 34 | +13 | Casey Roderick |
| 22 | 26 | +4 | Johanna Long |
| 23 | 31 | +8 | Kyle Fowler |
| 24 | 42 | +18 | Travis Pastrana |
| 25 | 36 | +11 | Joey Gase |
| 26 | 4 | -22 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 27 | 37 | +10 | Erik Darnell |
| 28 | 11 | -17 | Cole Whitt |
| 29 | 29 | — | Joe Nemechek |
| 30 | 39 | +9 | T.J. Bell |
| 31 | 9 | -22 | Brian Scott |
| 32 | 18 | -14 | Jeff Green |
| 33 | 15 | -18 | Jason Bowles |
| 34 | 17 | -17 | Josh Richards |
| 35 | 32 | -3 | Danny Efland |
| 36 | 35 | -1 | Angela Ruch |
| 37 | 43 | +6 | Morgan Shepherd |
| 38 | 40 | +2 | Mike Harmon |
| 39 | 41 | +2 | Robert Richardson Jr. |
| 40 | 38 | -2 | Chase Miller |
| 41 | 27 | -14 | Josh Wise |
| 42 | 30 | -12 | Scott Speed |
| 43 | 33 | -10 | Kevin Lepage |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 9 matched drivers, the model averaged 7.6 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brad Keselowski | 11.2 | 1 | +10.2 |
| 2 | Denny Hamlin | 8.2 | 2 | +6.2 |
| 3 | Kyle Busch | 17.0 | 3 | +14.0 |
| 6 | Joey Logano | 14.7 | 6 | +8.7 |
| 8 | Justin Allgaier | 18.3 | 8 | +10.3 |
| 11 | Austin Dillon | 17.1 | 11 | +6.1 |
| 19 | Timmy Hill | 23.9 | 19 | +4.9 |
| 25 | Joey Gase | 23.4 | 25 | -1.6 |
| 26 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 19.9 | 26 | -6.1 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Brad Keselowski: has 45 career starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with a 11.9 avg finish (5 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 39 career starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with a 11.8 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P2 on the day.
- Kyle Busch: was the biggest surprise, finishing P3 vs predicted P17. Track history: 68 starts, 8.4 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2012 History 300 at Charlotte?
Brad Keselowski won the 2012 History 300 at Charlotte at Charlotte Motor Speedway.
Where was the 2012 History 300 at Charlotte held?
The 2012 History 300 at Charlotte was held at Charlotte Motor Speedway on May 26, 2012.