NASCAR Nationwide Series at Chicago
Chicagoland Speedway — July 22, 2012
Elliott Sadler
Winner
201
Laps
43
Entries
8
Leaders
Elliott Sadler won the 2012 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Chicago at Chicagoland Speedway on July 22, 2012, leading 35 of 201 laps. Ricky Stenhouse Jr. finished second; Justin Allgaier rounded out the podium. The race featured 8 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, July 22, 2012
Track
Season
2012
Winner
Leaders
8 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | +14 | Elliott Sadler |
| 2 | 1 | -1 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 3 | 16 | +13 | Justin Allgaier |
| 4 | 11 | +7 | Kenny Wallace |
| 5 | 14 | +9 | Michael Annett |
| 6 | 2 | -4 | Austin Dillon |
| 7 | 5 | -2 | Parker Kligerman |
| 8 | 3 | -5 | Sam Hornish Jr. |
| 9 | 8 | -1 | Cole Whitt |
| 10 | 9 | -1 | Ryan Truex |
| 11 | 6 | -5 | Brian Scott |
| 12 | 7 | -5 | Mike Bliss |
| 13 | 22 | +9 | Joe Nemechek |
| 14 | 13 | -1 | Danica Patrick |
| 15 | 18 | +3 | James Buescher |
| 16 | 24 | +8 | Mike Wallace |
| 17 | 32 | +15 | Travis Pastrana |
| 18 | 25 | +7 | Timmy Hill |
| 19 | 21 | +2 | Brad Sweet |
| 20 | 28 | +8 | Josh Richards |
| 21 | 12 | -9 | Johanna Long |
| 22 | 27 | +5 | Jeremy Clements |
| 23 | 17 | -6 | Jason Bowles |
| 24 | 19 | -5 | Eric McClure |
| 25 | 30 | +5 | Tayler Malsam |
| 26 | 35 | +9 | Tanner Berryhill |
| 27 | 4 | -23 | Kyle Busch |
| 28 | 10 | -18 | Brendan Gaughan |
| 29 | 20 | -9 | Jamie Dick |
| 30 | 26 | -4 | Erik Darnell |
| 31 | 36 | +5 | Benny Gordon |
| 32 | 33 | +1 | Danny Efland |
| 33 | 37 | +4 | Tim Schendel |
| 34 | 41 | +7 | Morgan Shepherd |
| 35 | 40 | +5 | Matt Carter |
| 36 | 29 | -7 | Blake Koch |
| 37 | 39 | +2 | Tim Andrews |
| 38 | 38 | — | T.J. Bell |
| 39 | 42 | +3 | Mike Harmon |
| 40 | 34 | -6 | Chase Miller |
| 41 | 31 | -10 | Stephen Leicht |
| 42 | 43 | +1 | Carl Long |
| 43 | 23 | -20 | Jeff Green |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 6 matched drivers, the model averaged 10.9 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 19.9 | 2 | +17.9 |
| 3 | Justin Allgaier | 18.3 | 3 | +15.3 |
| 6 | Austin Dillon | 17.1 | 6 | +11.1 |
| 10 | Ryan Truex | 15.4 | 10 | +5.4 |
| 18 | Timmy Hill | 23.9 | 18 | +5.9 |
| 27 | Kyle Busch | 17.0 | 27 | -10.0 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Elliott Sadler: has 23 career starts at Chicagoland Speedway with a 16.7 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Ryan Truex: was the model’s top pick based on 5 career starts at Chicagoland Speedway with a 17.2 avg finish, finishing P10 on the day.
- Ricky Stenhouse Jr.: was the biggest surprise, finishing P2 vs predicted P20. Track history: 9 starts, 14.8 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2012 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Chicago?
Elliott Sadler won the 2012 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Chicago at Chicagoland Speedway.
Where was the 2012 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Chicago held?
The 2012 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Chicago was held at Chicagoland Speedway on July 22, 2012.