NASCAR Nationwide Series at Darlington

Darlington Raceway — May 11, 2012

Joey Logano

Winner

151

Laps

Entries

Leaders

Joey Logano won the 2012 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Darlington at Darlington Raceway on May 11, 2012, leading 4 of 151 laps. Denny Hamlin finished second; Brad Keselowski rounded out the podium. The race featured 7 different leaders.

Race Details

Date

Friday, May 11, 2012

Track

Darlington Raceway

Season

2012

Winner

Joey Logano

Leaders

7 drivers

Sort by

Pos	Start	+/-	Driver	Manufacturer	Laps	Interval	Status	Led	Pts
1	5	+4	Joey Logano		151	—	Running	4	0
2	2	—	Denny Hamlin		151	—	Running	103	0
3	13	+10	Brad Keselowski	Dodge	151	—	Running	—	0
4	8	+4	Sam Hornish Jr.	Dodge	151	—	Running	—	40
5	3	-2	Austin Dillon		151	—	Running	—	39
6	1	-5	Ricky Stenhouse Jr.		151	—	Running	18	39
7	7	—	Brian Scott		151	—	Running	—	37
8	4	-4	Kurt Busch		151	—	Running	3	0
9	14	+5	James Buescher		151	—	Running	—	0
10	40	+30	Cole Whitt		151	—	Running	—	34
11	16	+5	Joe Nemechek		151	—	Running	—	33
12	15	+3	Danica Patrick		151	—	Running	—	32
13	10	-3	Justin Allgaier		151	—	Running	8	32
14	22	+8	Michael Annett		151	—	Running	—	30
15	12	-3	Mike Bliss		151	—	Running	—	29
16	31	+15	Timmy Hill		151	—	Running	—	28
17	25	+8	Travis Pastrana		151	—	Running	—	27
18	9	-9	Kasey Kahne		151	—	Running	—	0
19	26	+7	Jeff Green		149	—	Running	—	25
20	36	+16	Danny Efland		148	—	Running	—	24
21	32	+11	Jason Bowles		148	—	Running	—	23
22	37	+15	Morgan Shepherd		147	—	Running	—	22
23	28	+5	Jamie Dick		144	—	Running	—	21
24	6	-18	Elliott Sadler		143	—	Running	14	21
25	19	-6	Josh Richards		143	—	Running	—	19
26	11	-15	Brendan Gaughan		138	—	Running	1	0
27	42	+15	Derrike Cope		138	—	Running	—	17
28	41	+13	Matt Frahm		125	—	DNF	—	16
29	20	-9	Erik Darnell		91	—	DNF	—	15
30	21	-9	Mike Wallace		81	—	DNF	—	14
31	30	-1	Tayler Malsam		60	—	DNF	—	13
32	18	-14	T.J. Bell		44	—	DNF	—	12
33	23	-10	Jeremy Clements		42	—	DNF	—	11
34	35	+1	Blake Koch		29	—	DNF	—	10
35	43	+8	Kevin Lepage		25	—	DNF	—	9
36	34	-2	Tony Raines		14	—	DNF	—	0
37	39	+2	Mike Harmon		10	—	DNF	—	7
38	38	—	Scott Riggs		7	—	DNF	—	0
39	24	-15	Josh Wise		7	—	DNF	—	0
40	27	-13	Casey Roderick		3	—	DNF	—	4
41	29	-12	Chase Miller		2	—	DNF	—	3
42	33	-9	Scott Speed		2	—	DNF	—	0
43	17	-26	Ryan Blaney		1	—	DNF	—	1

Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 8 matched drivers, the model averaged 12.6 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos	Driver	Predicted	Actual	Delta	Conf.
1	Joey Logano	14.7	1	+13.7	Coinflip
2	Denny Hamlin	8.2	2	+6.2	High Confidence
3	Brad Keselowski	11.2	3	+8.2	Moderate
5	Austin Dillon	17.1	5	+12.1	Coinflip
6	Ricky Stenhouse Jr.	19.9	6	+13.9	Moderate
13	Justin Allgaier	18.3	13	+5.3	Coinflip
16	Timmy Hill	23.9	16	+7.9	High Confidence
43	Ryan Blaney	9.2	43	-33.8	High Confidence

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

Joey Logano: has 33 career starts at Darlington Raceway with a 14.2 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 41 career starts at Darlington Raceway with a 7.6 avg finish (10 wins), finishing P2 on the day.
Ricky Stenhouse Jr.: was the biggest surprise, finishing P6 vs predicted P20. Track history: 17 starts, 20.2 avg finish.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2012 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Darlington?

Joey Logano won the 2012 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Darlington at Darlington Raceway.

Where was the 2012 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Darlington held?

The 2012 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Darlington was held at Darlington Raceway on May 11, 2012.