NASCAR Nationwide Series at Daytona

Daytona International Speedway — July 6, 2012

Kurt Busch

Winner

101

Laps

Entries

Leaders

Kurt Busch won the 2012 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Daytona at Daytona International Speedway on July 6, 2012, leading 23 of 101 laps. Ricky Stenhouse Jr. finished second; Michael Annett rounded out the podium. The race featured 17 different leaders.

Race Details

Date

Friday, July 6, 2012

Track

Daytona International Speedway

Season

2012

Winner

Kurt Busch

Leaders

17 drivers

Sort by

Pos	Start	+/-	Driver	Manufacturer	Laps	Interval	Status	Led	Pts
1	35	+34	Kurt Busch		101	—	Running	23	0
2	1	-1	Ricky Stenhouse Jr.		101	—	Running	—	42
3	17	+14	Michael Annett		101	—	Running	—	41
4	42	+38	Austin Dillon		101	—	Running	8	41
5	19	+14	Joey Logano		101	—	Running	12	0
6	13	+7	Elliott Sadler		101	—	Running	10	39
7	21	+14	Justin Allgaier		101	—	Running	6	38
8	15	+7	Mike Bliss		101	—	Running	—	36
9	37	+28	Timmy Hill		101	—	Running	—	35
10	8	-2	Sam Hornish Jr.	Dodge	101	—	Running	6	35
11	33	+22	Jeremy Clements		101	—	Running	3	34
12	11	-1	Johanna Long		101	—	Running	—	32
13	28	+15	Danny Efland		101	—	Running	—	31
14	29	+15	Jason Bowles		101	—	Running	1	30
15	22	+7	Tayler Malsam		101	—	Running	—	29
16	27	+11	Josh Richards		101	—	Running	—	28
17	34	+17	Robert Richardson Jr.		101	—	Running	—	27
18	26	+8	Eric McClure		101	—	Running	—	26
19	31	+12	Blake Koch	Dodge	101	—	Running	—	25
20	32	+12	Bryan Silas		100	—	Running	—	0
21	41	+20	Erik Darnell		99	—	Running	—	23
22	36	+14	Joe Nemechek		97	—	Running	5	23
23	22	-1	Kyle Busch		94	—	Running	3	0
24	19	-5	Brad Sweet		93	—	Running	—	20
25	18	-7	John Wes Townley		89	—	Running	—	0
26	29	+3	Clint Bowyer		86	—	Running	1	0
27	24	-3	Casey Roderick		84	—	DNF	—	17
28	11	-17	Kevin Harvick		84	—	DNF	2	0
29	2	-27	Cole Whitt		83	—	DNF	3	16
30	30	—	Jeffrey Earnhardt		82	—	DNF	—	14
31	3	-28	Danica Patrick		82	—	DNF	12	14
32	9	-23	Brian Scott		82	—	DNF	—	12
33	10	-23	Bobby Santos III		80	—	DNF	—	11
34	14	-20	James Buescher		71	—	DNF	1	0
35	9	-26	Brad Keselowski	Dodge	66	—	DNF	2	0
36	7	-29	Mike Wallace		65	—	DNF	3	9
37	40	+3	Joey Gase		50	—	DNF	—	7
38	36	-2	Mike Harmon		31	—	DNF	—	6
39	35	-4	T.J. Bell		22	—	DNF	—	5
40	43	+3	Chase Miller		5	—	DNF	—	4
41	31	-10	Josh Wise		4	—	DNF	—	0
42	37	-5	Stephen Leicht		3	—	DNF	—	0
43	23	-20	Jeff Green		3	—	DNF	—	1

Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 8 matched drivers, the model averaged 14.9 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos	Driver	Predicted	Actual	Delta	Conf.
2	Ricky Stenhouse Jr.	18.5	2	+16.5	Coinflip
4	Austin Dillon	23.4	4	+19.4	High Confidence
5	Joey Logano	20.5	5	+15.5	Moderate
7	Justin Allgaier	21.1	7	+14.1	Moderate
9	Timmy Hill	22.8	9	+13.8	Moderate
23	Kyle Busch	15.1	23	-7.9	Coinflip
35	Brad Keselowski	16.0	35	-19.0	Coinflip
37	Joey Gase	23.7	37	-13.3	High Confidence

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

Kurt Busch: has 44 career starts at Daytona International Speedway with a 16.9 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
Kyle Busch: was the model’s top pick based on 69 career starts at Daytona International Speedway with a 17.3 avg finish (3 wins), finishing P23 on the day.
Austin Dillon: was the biggest surprise, finishing P4 vs predicted P23. Track history: 36 starts, 14.7 avg finish.

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Track

Daytona International Speedway

Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2012 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Daytona?

Kurt Busch won the 2012 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Daytona at Daytona International Speedway.

Where was the 2012 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Daytona held?

The 2012 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Daytona was held at Daytona International Speedway on July 6, 2012.