NASCAR Nationwide Series at Kansas

Kansas Speedway — October 20, 2012

Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
Winner
206
Laps
43
Entries
6
Leaders

Ricky Stenhouse Jr. won the 2012 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Kansas at Kansas Speedway on October 20, 2012, leading 25 of 206 laps. Austin Dillon finished second; Joey Logano rounded out the podium. The race featured 6 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Saturday, October 20, 2012
Season
2012
Leaders
6 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 10 +9 Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
2 2 Austin Dillon
3 1 -2 Joey Logano
4 7 +3 Elliott Sadler
5 8 +3 Cole Whitt
6 6 Kyle Busch
7 21 +14 Justin Allgaier
8 14 +6 Michael Annett
9 12 +3 Sam Hornish Jr.
10 13 +3 Danica Patrick
11 27 +16 Ryan Blaney
12 22 +10 Joe Nemechek
13 23 +10 Mike Bliss
14 37 +23 Danny Efland
15 15 Eric McClure
16 5 -11 Paul Menard
17 39 +22 Erik Darnell
18 4 -14 Kenny Wallace
19 32 +13 Joey Gase
20 24 +4 Jason Bowles
21 29 +8 Mike Wallace
22 33 +11 Jennifer Cobb
23 26 +3 Brad Sweet
24 19 -5 Scott Lagasse Jr.
25 16 -9 Hal Martin
26 3 -23 Brian Scott
27 42 +15 Dexter Stacey
28 17 -11 James Buescher
29 40 +11 Derek White
30 31 +1 Tony Raines
31 9 -22 Johanna Long
32 43 +11 Morgan Shepherd
33 41 +8 Nur Ali
34 30 -4 Scott Saunders
35 11 -24 Jeremy Clements
36 25 -11 Blake Koch
37 36 -1 Carl Long
38 34 -4 Timmy Hill
39 35 -4 Robert Richardson Jr.
40 28 -12 J.J. Yeley
41 38 -3 Mike Harmon
42 18 -24 Jeff Green
43 20 -23 Chase Miller
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 9 matched drivers, the model averaged 11.1 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 19.9 1 +18.9
2 Austin Dillon 17.1 2 +15.1
3 Joey Logano 14.7 3 +11.7
6 Kyle Busch 17.0 6 +11.0
7 Justin Allgaier 18.3 7 +11.3
11 Ryan Blaney 9.2 11 -1.8
19 Joey Gase 23.4 19 +4.4
38 Timmy Hill 23.9 38 -14.1
40 J.J. Yeley 28.8 40 -11.2

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Ricky Stenhouse Jr.: has 27 career starts at Kansas Speedway with a 19.9 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Ryan Blaney: was the model’s top pick based on 27 career starts at Kansas Speedway with a 13.6 avg finish, finishing P11 on the day.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2012 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Kansas?
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. won the 2012 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Kansas at Kansas Speedway.
Where was the 2012 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Kansas held?
The 2012 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Kansas was held at Kansas Speedway on October 20, 2012.