SFP 250

Kansas Speedway — January 1, 2013

Matt Crafton
Winner
167
Laps
36
Entries
10
Leaders

Matt Crafton won the 2013 SFP 250 at Kansas Speedway on January 1, 2013, leading 34 of 167 laps. Joey Coulter finished second; Ryan Blaney rounded out the podium. The race featured 10 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Tuesday, January 1, 2013
Season
2013
Winner
Leaders
10 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 6 +5 Matt Crafton
2 11 +9 Joey Coulter
3 19 +16 Ryan Blaney
4 8 +4 Brendan Gaughan
5 4 -1 Johnny Sauter
6 1 -5 James Buescher
7 15 +8 Bubba Wallace
8 5 -3 Ty Dillon
9 13 +4 Ron Hornaday Jr.
10 18 +8 Timothy Peters
11 12 +1 German Quiroga
12 14 +2 Dakoda Armstrong
13 31 +18 David Starr
14 23 +9 Tim George Jr.
15 3 -12 Jeb Burton
16 28 +12 Clay Greenfield
17 33 +16 Jennifer Jo Cobb
18 27 +9 Justin Jennings
19 21 +2 Bryan Silas
20 17 -3 Brennan Newberry
21 10 -11 Todd Bodine
22 36 +14 Spencer Gallagher
23 30 +7 Jeff Agnew
24 16 -8 Joey Logano
25 9 -16 Max Gresham
26 34 +8 Norm Benning
27 7 -20 Kyle Busch
28 25 -3 Danny Efland
29 24 -5 Ryan Sieg
30 35 +5 Jamie Dick
31 2 -29 Miguel Paludo
32 20 -12 John Wes Townley
33 29 -4 Mike Harmon
34 26 -8 Chris Jones
35 22 -13 J.J. Yeley
36 32 -4 Scott Saunders
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 7 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.7 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
3 Ryan Blaney 9.2 3 +6.2
7 Bubba Wallace 12.7 7 +5.7
8 Ty Dillon 23.4 8 +15.4
13 David Starr 20.9 13 +7.9
24 Joey Logano 14.7 24 -9.3
27 Kyle Busch 17.0 27 -10.0
35 J.J. Yeley 28.8 35 -6.2

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Matt Crafton: has 30 career starts at Kansas Speedway with a 12.8 avg finish (3 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Ryan Blaney: was the model’s top pick based on 27 career starts at Kansas Speedway with a 13.6 avg finish, finishing P3 on the day.
  • Ty Dillon: was the biggest surprise, finishing P8 vs predicted P23. Track history: 19 starts, 18.8 avg finish.

Explore More

Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2013 SFP 250?
Matt Crafton won the 2013 SFP 250 at Kansas Speedway driving for ThorSport Racing.
Where was the 2013 SFP 250 held?
The 2013 SFP 250 was held at Kansas Speedway on January 1, 2013.