NASCAR Nationwide Series at Bristol

Bristol Motor Speedway — March 16, 2013

Kyle Busch
Winner
300
Laps
40
Entries
5
Leaders

Kyle Busch won the 2013 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Bristol at Bristol Motor Speedway on March 16, 2013, leading 156 of 300 laps. Kyle Larson finished second; Brian Vickers rounded out the podium. The race featured 5 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Saturday, March 16, 2013
Season
2013
Winner
Leaders
5 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 13 +12 Kyle Busch
2 12 +10 Kyle Larson
3 14 +11 Brian Vickers
4 3 -1 Sam Hornish Jr.
5 7 +2 Kevin Harvick
6 4 -2 Regan Smith
7 11 +4 Chris Buescher
8 1 -7 Justin Allgaier
9 16 +7 Parker Kligerman
10 8 -2 Brian Scott
11 2 -9 Austin Dillon
12 10 -2 Trevor Bayne
13 9 -4 Mike Bliss
14 15 +1 Alex Bowman
15 6 -9 Brad Keselowski
16 18 +2 Travis Pastrana
17 34 +17 John Wes Townley
18 17 -1 Reed Sorenson
19 26 +7 Josh Wise
20 29 +9 Scott Riggs
21 24 +3 Eric McClure
22 27 +5 Brad Sweet
23 33 +10 Mike Wallace
24 20 -4 Joe Nemechek
25 39 +14 Blake Koch
26 31 +5 Dexter Stacey
27 37 +10 Robert Richardson Jr.
28 36 +8 Mike Harmon
29 38 +9 Brad Teague
30 35 +5 Jason A. White
31 25 -6 Hal Martin
32 30 -2 Jeffrey Earnhardt
33 22 -11 Jeremy Clements
34 19 -15 Nelson Piquet Jr.
35 32 -3 Jamie Dick
36 5 -31 Elliott Sadler
37 28 -9 Jeff Green
38 21 -17 J.J. Yeley
39 23 -16 Chase Miller
40 40 Michael McDowell
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 9 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.7 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Kyle Busch 15.6 1 +14.6
2 Kyle Larson 8.6 2 +6.6
7 Chris Buescher 10.3 7 +3.3
8 Justin Allgaier 17.7 8 +9.7
11 Austin Dillon 17.0 11 +6.0
14 Alex Bowman 14.0 14 0.0
15 Brad Keselowski 12.0 15 -3.0
38 J.J. Yeley 28.1 38 -9.9
40 Michael McDowell 15.0 40 -25.0

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Kyle Busch: has 73 career starts at Bristol Motor Speedway with a 11.7 avg finish (20 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Kyle Larson: was the model’s top pick based on 37 career starts at Bristol Motor Speedway with a 11.2 avg finish (5 wins), finishing P2 on the day.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2013 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Bristol?
Kyle Busch won the 2013 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Bristol at Bristol Motor Speedway.
Where was the 2013 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Bristol held?
The 2013 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Bristol was held at Bristol Motor Speedway on March 16, 2013.