NASCAR Nationwide Series at Iowa

Iowa Speedway — May 18, 2014

Sam Hornish Jr.
Winner
250
Laps
40
Entries
3
Leaders

Sam Hornish Jr. won the 2014 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Iowa at Iowa Speedway on May 18, 2014, leading 167 of 250 laps. Ryan Blaney finished second; Regan Smith rounded out the podium. The race featured 3 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Sunday, May 18, 2014
Season
2014
Leaders
3 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 2 +1 Sam Hornish Jr.
2 1 -1 Ryan Blaney
3 4 +1 Regan Smith
4 6 +2 Chase Elliott
5 8 +3 Elliott Sadler
6 7 +1 Brian Scott
7 3 -4 Michael McDowell
8 13 +5 Ty Dillon
9 16 +7 Trevor Bayne
10 9 -1 Landon Cassill
11 5 -6 Dylan Kwasniewski
12 10 -2 Brendan Gaughan
13 11 -2 Chris Buescher
14 12 -2 Chase Pistone
15 17 +2 Austin Theriault
16 15 -1 Ryan Reed
17 18 +1 Ryan Sieg
18 24 +6 J.J. Yeley
19 14 -5 James Buescher
20 23 +3 Ryan Gifford
21 22 +1 Dakoda Armstrong
22 28 +6 Jeremy Clements
23 25 +2 Jeffrey Earnhardt
24 32 +8 Eric McClure
25 30 +5 Matt DiBenedetto
26 27 +1 Hal Martin
27 29 +2 Joey Gase
28 35 +7 Carl Long
29 20 -9 Chad Boat
30 21 -9 Cale Conley
31 19 -12 Mike Bliss
32 38 +6 Caleb Roark
33 37 +4 Carlos Contreras
34 36 +2 Tim Schendel
35 31 -4 Tanner Berryhill
36 34 -2 Tommy Joe Martins
37 33 -4 Derrike Cope
38 40 +2 Mike Harmon
39 26 -13 Jeff Green
40 39 -1 Ryan Ellis
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 7 matched drivers, the model averaged 7.8 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
2 Ryan Blaney 9.2 2 +7.2
4 Chase Elliott 7.8 4 +3.8
7 Michael McDowell 17.0 7 +10.0
8 Ty Dillon 23.4 8 +15.4
13 Chris Buescher 9.2 13 -3.8
18 J.J. Yeley 28.8 18 +10.8
27 Joey Gase 23.4 27 -3.6

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Sam Hornish Jr.: has 9 career starts at Iowa Speedway with a 11.1 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Chase Elliott: was the model’s top pick based on 8 career starts at Iowa Speedway with a 9.5 avg finish, finishing P4 on the day.
  • Ty Dillon: was the biggest surprise, finishing P8 vs predicted P23. Track history: 11 starts, 8.9 avg finish.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2014 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Iowa?
Sam Hornish Jr. won the 2014 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Iowa at Iowa Speedway.
Where was the 2014 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Iowa held?
The 2014 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Iowa was held at Iowa Speedway on May 18, 2014.