NASCAR Nationwide Series at Iowa
Iowa Speedway — May 18, 2014
Sam Hornish Jr.
Winner
250
Laps
40
Entries
3
Leaders
Sam Hornish Jr. won the 2014 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Iowa at Iowa Speedway on May 18, 2014, leading 167 of 250 laps. Ryan Blaney finished second; Regan Smith rounded out the podium. The race featured 3 different leaders.
Race Details
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | +1 | Sam Hornish Jr. |
| 2 | 1 | -1 | Ryan Blaney |
| 3 | 4 | +1 | Regan Smith |
| 4 | 6 | +2 | Chase Elliott |
| 5 | 8 | +3 | Elliott Sadler |
| 6 | 7 | +1 | Brian Scott |
| 7 | 3 | -4 | Michael McDowell |
| 8 | 13 | +5 | Ty Dillon |
| 9 | 16 | +7 | Trevor Bayne |
| 10 | 9 | -1 | Landon Cassill |
| 11 | 5 | -6 | Dylan Kwasniewski |
| 12 | 10 | -2 | Brendan Gaughan |
| 13 | 11 | -2 | Chris Buescher |
| 14 | 12 | -2 | Chase Pistone |
| 15 | 17 | +2 | Austin Theriault |
| 16 | 15 | -1 | Ryan Reed |
| 17 | 18 | +1 | Ryan Sieg |
| 18 | 24 | +6 | J.J. Yeley |
| 19 | 14 | -5 | James Buescher |
| 20 | 23 | +3 | Ryan Gifford |
| 21 | 22 | +1 | Dakoda Armstrong |
| 22 | 28 | +6 | Jeremy Clements |
| 23 | 25 | +2 | Jeffrey Earnhardt |
| 24 | 32 | +8 | Eric McClure |
| 25 | 30 | +5 | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 26 | 27 | +1 | Hal Martin |
| 27 | 29 | +2 | Joey Gase |
| 28 | 35 | +7 | Carl Long |
| 29 | 20 | -9 | Chad Boat |
| 30 | 21 | -9 | Cale Conley |
| 31 | 19 | -12 | Mike Bliss |
| 32 | 38 | +6 | Caleb Roark |
| 33 | 37 | +4 | Carlos Contreras |
| 34 | 36 | +2 | Tim Schendel |
| 35 | 31 | -4 | Tanner Berryhill |
| 36 | 34 | -2 | Tommy Joe Martins |
| 37 | 33 | -4 | Derrike Cope |
| 38 | 40 | +2 | Mike Harmon |
| 39 | 26 | -13 | Jeff Green |
| 40 | 39 | -1 | Ryan Ellis |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 7 matched drivers, the model averaged 7.8 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ryan Blaney | 9.2 | 2 | +7.2 |
| 4 | Chase Elliott | 7.8 | 4 | +3.8 |
| 7 | Michael McDowell | 17.0 | 7 | +10.0 |
| 8 | Ty Dillon | 23.4 | 8 | +15.4 |
| 13 | Chris Buescher | 9.2 | 13 | -3.8 |
| 18 | J.J. Yeley | 28.8 | 18 | +10.8 |
| 27 | Joey Gase | 23.4 | 27 | -3.6 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Sam Hornish Jr.: has 9 career starts at Iowa Speedway with a 11.1 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Chase Elliott: was the model’s top pick based on 8 career starts at Iowa Speedway with a 9.5 avg finish, finishing P4 on the day.
- Ty Dillon: was the biggest surprise, finishing P8 vs predicted P23. Track history: 11 starts, 8.9 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2014 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Iowa?
Sam Hornish Jr. won the 2014 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Iowa at Iowa Speedway.
Where was the 2014 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Iowa held?
The 2014 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Iowa was held at Iowa Speedway on May 18, 2014.