NNS at Talladega Pres. By Victory MotorCycles
Talladega Superspeedway — May 3, 2014
Elliott Sadler
Winner
117
Laps
40
Entries
13
Leaders
Elliott Sadler won the 2014 NNS at Talladega Pres. By Victory MotorCycles at Talladega Superspeedway on May 3, 2014, leading 40 of 117 laps. Chris Buescher finished second; Regan Smith rounded out the podium. The race featured 13 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, May 3, 2014
Track
Season
2014
Winner
Leaders
13 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | +1 | Elliott Sadler |
| 2 | 8 | +6 | Chris Buescher |
| 3 | 32 | +29 | Regan Smith |
| 4 | 13 | +9 | David Ragan |
| 5 | 1 | -4 | Sam Hornish Jr. |
| 6 | 38 | +32 | Joe Nemechek |
| 7 | 34 | +27 | J.J. Yeley |
| 8 | 12 | +4 | Landon Cassill |
| 9 | 16 | +7 | David Starr |
| 10 | 21 | +11 | Trevor Bayne |
| 11 | 36 | +25 | Joey Gase |
| 12 | 19 | +7 | Mike Bliss |
| 13 | 15 | +2 | John Wes Townley |
| 14 | 29 | +15 | Tommy Joe Martins |
| 15 | 7 | -8 | Ty Dillon |
| 16 | 39 | +23 | Jeffrey Earnhardt |
| 17 | 18 | +1 | Eric McClure |
| 18 | 5 | -13 | Dakoda Armstrong |
| 19 | 37 | +18 | Chase Elliott |
| 20 | 27 | +7 | Ryan Sieg |
| 21 | 6 | -15 | Ryan Blaney |
| 22 | 31 | +9 | Kasey Kahne |
| 23 | 33 | +10 | Jeremy Clements |
| 24 | 4 | -20 | Ryan Reed |
| 25 | 40 | +15 | Chad Boat |
| 26 | 24 | -2 | Josh Wise |
| 27 | 17 | -10 | Jamie Dick |
| 28 | 26 | -2 | Mike Harmon |
| 29 | 9 | -20 | James Buescher |
| 30 | 20 | -10 | Kyle Larson |
| 31 | 3 | -28 | Bubba Wallace |
| 32 | 22 | -10 | Robert Richardson Jr. |
| 33 | 10 | -23 | Brian Scott |
| 34 | 11 | -23 | Brendan Gaughan |
| 35 | 28 | -7 | Dylan Kwasniewski |
| 36 | 30 | -6 | Bobby Gerhart |
| 37 | 35 | -2 | Carl Long |
| 38 | 25 | -13 | Jeff Green |
| 39 | 23 | -16 | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 40 | 14 | -26 | Blake Koch |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 9 matched drivers, the model averaged 11.4 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Chris Buescher | 13.6 | 2 | +11.6 |
| 7 | J.J. Yeley | 25.2 | 7 | +18.2 |
| 9 | David Starr | 21.1 | 9 | +12.1 |
| 11 | Joey Gase | 23.7 | 11 | +12.7 |
| 15 | Ty Dillon | 21.1 | 15 | +6.1 |
| 19 | Chase Elliott | 10.4 | 19 | -8.6 |
| 21 | Ryan Blaney | 13.9 | 21 | -7.1 |
| 30 | Kyle Larson | 18.5 | 30 | -11.5 |
| 31 | Bubba Wallace | 16.0 | 31 | -15.0 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Elliott Sadler: has 33 career starts at Talladega Superspeedway with a 19.8 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Chase Elliott: was the model’s top pick based on 22 career starts at Talladega Superspeedway with a 14.3 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P19 on the day.
- J.J. Yeley: was the biggest surprise, finishing P7 vs predicted P25. Track history: 28 starts, 23.1 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2014 NNS at Talladega Pres. By Victory MotorCycles?
Elliott Sadler won the 2014 NNS at Talladega Pres. By Victory MotorCycles at Talladega Superspeedway.
Where was the 2014 NNS at Talladega Pres. By Victory MotorCycles held?
The 2014 NNS at Talladega Pres. By Victory MotorCycles was held at Talladega Superspeedway on May 3, 2014.