American Ethanol E15 225

Chicagoland Speedway — January 1, 2015

John Hunter Nemechek
Winner
150
Laps
32
Entries
7
Leaders

John Hunter Nemechek won the 2015 American Ethanol E15 225 at Chicagoland Speedway on January 1, 2015, leading 2 of 150 laps. Tyler Reddick finished second; Timothy Peters rounded out the podium. The race featured 7 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Thursday, January 1, 2015
Season
2015
Leaders
7 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 11 +10 John Hunter Nemechek
2 4 +2 Tyler Reddick
3 5 +2 Timothy Peters
4 6 +2 Daniel Suarez
5 3 -2 Johnny Sauter
6 8 +2 Erik Jones
7 1 -6 Kyle Larson
8 19 +11 Spencer Gallagher
9 18 +9 Matt Tifft
10 13 +3 John Wes Townley
11 21 +10 Ray Black Jr.
12 9 -3 Ben Kennedy
13 12 -1 Austin Theriault
14 2 -12 Matt Crafton
15 17 +2 Tyler Young
16 7 -9 Cameron Hayley
17 10 -7 Brandon Jones
18 30 +12 Timmy Hill
19 22 +3 Justin Jennings
20 28 +8 Jordan Anderson
21 16 -5 Chad Finley
22 32 +10 Norm Benning
23 27 +4 Jennifer Jo Cobb
24 25 +1 Travis Kvapil
25 14 -11 Daniel Hemric
26 20 -6 Mason Mingus
27 26 -1 Korbin Forrister
28 23 -5 B.J. McLeod
29 29 Ryan Ellis
30 15 -15 Jesse Little
31 31 Caleb Roark
32 24 -8 Tyler Tanner
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 7 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.3 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 John Hunter Nemechek 19.1 1 +18.1
2 Tyler Reddick 6.2 2 +4.2
4 Daniel Suarez 14.0 4 +10.0
6 Erik Jones 16.7 6 +10.7
7 Kyle Larson 12.7 7 +5.7
18 Timmy Hill 23.9 18 +5.9
28 B.J. McLeod 24.8 28 -3.2

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • John Hunter Nemechek: has 5 career starts at Chicagoland Speedway with a 8.0 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Tyler Reddick: was the model’s top pick based on 5 career starts at Chicagoland Speedway with a 11.6 avg finish, finishing P2 on the day.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2015 American Ethanol E15 225?
John Hunter Nemechek won the 2015 American Ethanol E15 225 at Chicagoland Speedway driving for SWM-NEMCO Racing.
Where was the 2015 American Ethanol E15 225 held?
The 2015 American Ethanol E15 225 was held at Chicagoland Speedway on January 1, 2015.