fred's 250 presented by Coca-Cola
Talladega Superspeedway — January 1, 2015
Timothy Peters
Winner
98
Laps
32
Entries
9
Leaders
Timothy Peters won the 2015 fred's 250 presented by Coca-Cola at Talladega Superspeedway on January 1, 2015, leading 23 of 98 laps. Brandon Jones finished second; Mason Mingus rounded out the podium. The race featured 9 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Thursday, January 1, 2015
Track
Season
2015
Winner
Leaders
9 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | — | Timothy Peters |
| 2 | 13 | +11 | Brandon Jones |
| 3 | 19 | +16 | Mason Mingus |
| 4 | 3 | -1 | Erik Jones |
| 5 | 15 | +10 | Tyler Reddick |
| 6 | 16 | +10 | Cameron Hayley |
| 7 | 8 | +1 | Johnny Sauter |
| 8 | 12 | +4 | Chris Fontaine |
| 9 | 20 | +11 | Chad Boat |
| 10 | 18 | +8 | Tyler Young |
| 11 | 14 | +3 | John Hunter Nemechek |
| 12 | 17 | +5 | Bobby Gerhart |
| 13 | 10 | -3 | Christopher Bell |
| 14 | 27 | +13 | Ray Black Jr. |
| 15 | 30 | +15 | Korbin Forrister |
| 16 | 2 | -14 | John Wes Townley |
| 17 | 11 | -6 | Brian Keselowski |
| 18 | 9 | -9 | Spencer Gallagher |
| 19 | 32 | +13 | Jordan Anderson |
| 20 | 25 | +5 | Timmy Hill |
| 21 | 24 | +3 | Norm Benning |
| 22 | 22 | — | Austin Hill |
| 23 | 6 | -17 | Matt Tifft |
| 24 | 7 | -17 | Matt Crafton |
| 25 | 5 | -20 | Ben Kennedy |
| 26 | 28 | +2 | Tyler Tanner |
| 27 | 31 | +4 | Travis Kvapil |
| 28 | 4 | -24 | Daniel Hemric |
| 29 | 21 | -8 | Stanton Barrett |
| 30 | 26 | -4 | Clay Greenfield |
| 31 | 23 | -8 | Terry Jones |
| 32 | 29 | -3 | Jennifer Jo Cobb |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 6 matched drivers, the model averaged 7.0 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Erik Jones | 18.5 | 4 | +14.5 |
| 5 | Tyler Reddick | 13.6 | 5 | +8.6 |
| 11 | John Hunter Nemechek | 20.5 | 11 | +9.5 |
| 13 | Christopher Bell | 17.4 | 13 | +4.4 |
| 20 | Timmy Hill | 22.8 | 20 | +2.8 |
| 22 | Austin Hill | 24.0 | 22 | +2.0 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Timothy Peters: has 10 career starts at Talladega Superspeedway with a 10.4 avg finish (3 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Tyler Reddick: was the model’s top pick based on 20 career starts at Talladega Superspeedway with a 16.1 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P5 on the day.
- Erik Jones: was the biggest surprise, finishing P4 vs predicted P19. Track history: 20 starts, 14.8 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2015 fred's 250 presented by Coca-Cola?
Timothy Peters won the 2015 fred's 250 presented by Coca-Cola at Talladega Superspeedway driving for Red Horse Racing.
Where was the 2015 fred's 250 presented by Coca-Cola held?
The 2015 fred's 250 presented by Coca-Cola was held at Talladega Superspeedway on January 1, 2015.