Alpha Energy Solutions 250
Martinsville Speedway — April 2, 2016
Kyle Busch
Winner
255
Laps
32
Entries
4
Leaders
Kyle Busch won the 2016 Alpha Energy Solutions 250 at Martinsville Speedway on April 2, 2016, leading 123 of 255 laps. John Hunter Nemechek finished second; William Byron rounded out the podium. The race featured 4 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, April 2, 2016
Track
Season
2016
Winner
Leaders
4 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | +1 | Kyle Busch |
| 2 | 8 | +6 | John Hunter Nemechek |
| 3 | 7 | +4 | William Byron |
| 4 | 5 | +1 | Kyle Larson |
| 5 | 16 | +11 | Timothy Peters |
| 6 | 11 | +5 | Spencer Gallagher |
| 7 | 10 | +3 | Matt Crafton |
| 8 | 25 | +17 | Parker Kligerman |
| 9 | 4 | -5 | Cameron Hayley |
| 10 | 20 | +10 | Rico Abreu |
| 11 | 15 | +4 | Ben Kennedy |
| 12 | 18 | +6 | Ryan Truex |
| 13 | 13 | — | Tyler Young |
| 14 | 23 | +9 | Brandon Brown |
| 15 | 24 | +9 | Austin Wayne Self |
| 16 | 1 | -15 | Ben Rhodes |
| 17 | 28 | +11 | Shane Lee |
| 18 | 6 | -12 | Daniel Suarez |
| 19 | 14 | -5 | Christopher Bell |
| 20 | 9 | -11 | Tyler Reddick |
| 21 | 21 | — | John Wes Townley |
| 22 | 17 | -5 | Daniel Hemric |
| 23 | 32 | +9 | Bryce Napier |
| 24 | 29 | +5 | Timmy Hill |
| 25 | 30 | +5 | Paige Decker |
| 26 | 22 | -4 | Justin Haley |
| 27 | 31 | +4 | Claire Decker |
| 28 | 27 | -1 | Spencer Boyd |
| 29 | 12 | -17 | Cole Custer |
| 30 | 26 | -4 | Mike Bliss |
| 31 | 19 | -12 | Kaz Grala |
| 32 | 3 | -29 | Johnny Sauter |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 11 matched drivers, the model averaged 7.5 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyle Busch | 15.6 | 1 | +14.6 |
| 2 | John Hunter Nemechek | 20.1 | 2 | +18.1 |
| 3 | William Byron | 10.3 | 3 | +7.3 |
| 4 | Kyle Larson | 8.6 | 4 | +4.6 |
| 12 | Ryan Truex | 15.6 | 12 | +3.6 |
| 18 | Daniel Suarez | 15.6 | 18 | -2.4 |
| 19 | Christopher Bell | 8.6 | 19 | -10.4 |
| 20 | Tyler Reddick | 9.9 | 20 | -10.1 |
| 24 | Timmy Hill | 24.3 | 24 | +0.3 |
| 26 | Justin Haley | 21.2 | 26 | -4.8 |
| 29 | Cole Custer | 23.0 | 29 | -6.0 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Kyle Busch: has 52 career starts at Martinsville Speedway with a 12.1 avg finish (4 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Kyle Larson: was the model’s top pick based on 22 career starts at Martinsville Speedway with a 12.3 avg finish (1 win), finishing P4 on the day.
- John Hunter Nemechek: was the biggest surprise, finishing P2 vs predicted P20. Track history: 21 starts, 17.8 avg finish.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2016 Alpha Energy Solutions 250?
Kyle Busch won the 2016 Alpha Energy Solutions 250 at Martinsville Speedway driving for Kyle Busch Motorsports.
Where was the 2016 Alpha Energy Solutions 250 held?
The 2016 Alpha Energy Solutions 250 was held at Martinsville Speedway on April 2, 2016.