NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT TALLADEGA
Talladega Superspeedway — April 30, 2016
Elliott Sadler
Winner
116
Laps
40
Entries
13
Leaders
Elliott Sadler won the 2016 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT TALLADEGA at Talladega Superspeedway on April 30, 2016, leading 1 of 116 laps. Justin Allgaier finished second; Brennan Poole rounded out the podium. The race featured 13 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, April 30, 2016
Track
Season
2016
Winner
Leaders
13 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | +8 | Elliott Sadler |
| 2 | 18 | +16 | Justin Allgaier |
| 3 | 11 | +8 | Brennan Poole |
| 4 | 34 | +30 | Jeremy Clements |
| 5 | 6 | +1 | Brendan Gaughan |
| 6 | 3 | -3 | Austin Dillon |
| 7 | 2 | -5 | Daniel Suarez |
| 8 | 1 | -7 | Matt Tifft |
| 9 | 14 | +5 | Chase Elliott |
| 10 | 17 | +7 | Aric Almirola |
| 11 | 20 | +9 | Justin Marks |
| 12 | 35 | +23 | Garrett Smithley |
| 13 | 15 | +2 | Bubba Wallace |
| 14 | 19 | +5 | Benny Gordon |
| 15 | 26 | +11 | Ryan Preece |
| 16 | 29 | +13 | Ross Chastain |
| 17 | 12 | -5 | Jeb Burton |
| 18 | 16 | -2 | Brandon Jones |
| 19 | 5 | -14 | Ty Dillon |
| 20 | 38 | +18 | Ryan Sieg |
| 21 | 4 | -17 | Erik Jones |
| 22 | 10 | -12 | J.J. Yeley |
| 23 | 21 | -2 | Brandon McReynolds |
| 24 | 13 | -11 | Blake Koch |
| 25 | 40 | +15 | Travis Kvapil |
| 26 | 24 | -2 | John Wes Townley |
| 27 | 8 | -19 | Joey Logano |
| 28 | 25 | -3 | Mario Gosselin |
| 29 | 28 | -1 | Ray Black, Jr. |
| 30 | 31 | +1 | Carl Long |
| 31 | 7 | -24 | Ryan Reed |
| 32 | 32 | — | John Jackson |
| 33 | 33 | — | Bobby Gerhart |
| 34 | 22 | -12 | Dakoda Armstrong |
| 35 | 36 | +1 | Ryan Ellis |
| 36 | 39 | +3 | B.J. McLeod |
| 37 | 30 | -7 | Chris Cockrum |
| 38 | 37 | -1 | Joey Gase |
| 39 | 23 | -16 | Morgan Shepherd |
| 40 | 27 | -13 | Jeff Green |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 14 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.4 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Justin Allgaier | 21.1 | 2 | +19.1 |
| 3 | Brennan Poole | 25.2 | 3 | +22.2 |
| 6 | Austin Dillon | 23.4 | 6 | +17.4 |
| 7 | Daniel Suarez | 15.1 | 7 | +8.1 |
| 9 | Chase Elliott | 10.4 | 9 | +1.4 |
| 13 | Bubba Wallace | 16.0 | 13 | +3.0 |
| 15 | Ryan Preece | 21.1 | 15 | +6.1 |
| 16 | Ross Chastain | 17.4 | 16 | +1.4 |
| 19 | Ty Dillon | 21.1 | 19 | +2.1 |
| 21 | Erik Jones | 18.5 | 21 | -2.5 |
| 22 | J.J. Yeley | 25.2 | 22 | +3.2 |
| 27 | Joey Logano | 20.5 | 27 | -6.5 |
| 36 | B.J. McLeod | 25.5 | 36 | -10.5 |
| 38 | Joey Gase | 23.7 | 38 | -14.3 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Elliott Sadler: has 33 career starts at Talladega Superspeedway with a 19.8 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Chase Elliott: was the model’s top pick based on 22 career starts at Talladega Superspeedway with a 14.3 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P9 on the day.
- Brennan Poole: was the biggest surprise, finishing P3 vs predicted P25. Track history: 12 starts, 16.4 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2016 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT TALLADEGA?
Elliott Sadler won the 2016 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT TALLADEGA at Talladega Superspeedway.
Where was the 2016 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT TALLADEGA held?
The 2016 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT TALLADEGA was held at Talladega Superspeedway on April 30, 2016.