Alpha Energy Solutions 250

Martinsville Speedway — April 1, 2017

Chase Elliott
Winner
250
Laps
32
Entries
3
Leaders

Chase Elliott won the 2017 Alpha Energy Solutions 250 at Martinsville Speedway on April 1, 2017, leading 92 of 250 laps. Johnny Sauter finished second; Christopher Bell rounded out the podium. The race featured 3 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Saturday, April 1, 2017
Season
2017
Winner
Leaders
3 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 1 Chase Elliott
2 2 Johnny Sauter
3 6 +3 Christopher Bell
4 9 +5 Noah Gragson
5 16 +11 Ty Dillon
6 15 +9 Brett Moffitt
7 5 -2 Ross Chastain
8 3 -5 Timothy Peters
9 4 -5 Matt Crafton
10 19 +9 Ryan Truex
11 8 -3 Chase Briscoe
12 20 +8 Regan Smith
13 7 -6 Harrison Burton
14 22 +8 Austin Hill
15 11 -4 Kaz Grala
16 14 -2 Kyle Donahue
17 10 -7 Grant Enfinger
18 21 +3 Joe Nemechek
19 27 +8 Cody Coughlin
20 17 -3 Ben Rhodes
21 13 -8 Austin Cindric
22 25 +3 Caleb Holman
23 31 +8 Wendell Chavous
24 26 +2 T.J. Bell
25 18 -7 Stewart Friesen
26 24 -2 Justin Haley
27 23 -4 Brandon Brown
28 12 -16 John Hunter Nemechek
29 28 -1 Travis Kvapil
30 30 Donnie Levister
31 32 +1 Jordan Anderson
32 29 -3 Bryce Napier
Stage Results
Driver Stage 1 Stage 2 Stage 3 Stage Pts
Chase Elliott 1
Johnny Sauter 2 1
Christopher Bell 4 9
Noah Gragson 8
Ty Dillon 9
Brett Moffitt
Ross Chastain
Timothy Peters 7 4
Matt Crafton 3 2
Ryan Truex
Chase Briscoe 6 3
Regan Smith
Harrison Burton 7
Austin Hill 10
Kaz Grala 8
Kyle Donahue
Grant Enfinger 5 5
Joe Nemechek
Cody Coughlin
Ben Rhodes
Austin Cindric
Caleb Holman
Wendell Chavous
T.J. Bell
Stewart Friesen
Justin Haley 6
Brandon Brown
John Hunter Nemechek 10
Travis Kvapil
Donnie Levister
Jordan Anderson
Bryce Napier
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 11 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.0 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Chase Elliott 8.3 1 +7.3
3 Christopher Bell 8.6 3 +5.6
4 Noah Gragson 23.0 4 +19.0
5 Ty Dillon 24.3 5 +19.3
7 Ross Chastain 13.8 7 +6.8
10 Ryan Truex 15.6 10 +5.6
11 Chase Briscoe 12.6 11 +1.6
14 Austin Hill 20.2 14 +6.2
21 Austin Cindric 17.0 21 -4.0
26 Justin Haley 21.2 26 -4.8
28 John Hunter Nemechek 20.1 28 -7.9

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Chase Elliott: has 26 career starts at Martinsville Speedway with a 10.2 avg finish (3 wins) — the model correctly identified this strength.
  • Ty Dillon: was the biggest surprise, finishing P5 vs predicted P24. Track history: 17 starts, 20.9 avg finish.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2017 Alpha Energy Solutions 250?
Chase Elliott won the 2017 Alpha Energy Solutions 250 at Martinsville Speedway driving for GMS Racing.
Where was the 2017 Alpha Energy Solutions 250 held?
The 2017 Alpha Energy Solutions 250 was held at Martinsville Speedway on April 1, 2017.