Sugarlands Shine 250

Talladega Superspeedway — October 12, 2019

Spencer Boyd
Winner
98
Laps
32
Entries
15
Leaders

Spencer Boyd won the 2019 Sugarlands Shine 250 at Talladega Superspeedway on October 12, 2019, leading 1 of 98 laps. Todd Gilliland finished second; Riley Herbst rounded out the podium. The race featured 15 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Saturday, October 12, 2019
Season
2019
Winner
Leaders
15 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 25 +24 Spencer Boyd
2 6 +4 Todd Gilliland
3 7 +4 Riley Herbst
4 8 +4 Brett Moffitt
5 10 +5 Stewart Friesen
6 13 +7 Austin Hill
7 2 -5 Tyler Ankrum
8 1 -7 Matt Crafton
9 5 -4 Sheldon Creed
10 14 +4 Grant Enfinger
11 3 -8 Harrison Burton
12 15 +3 Ben Rhodes
13 9 -4 Korbin Forrister
14 4 -10 Johnny Sauter
15 16 +1 Anthony Alfredo
16 19 +3 Natalie Decker
17 23 +6 Bryan Dauzat
18 31 +13 Norm Benning
19 32 +13 Jesse Iwuji
20 20 Gus Dean
21 30 +9 Jordan Anderson
22 17 -5 Ross Chastain
23 22 -1 Timothy Peters
24 11 -13 Codie Rohrbaugh
25 24 -1 Clay Greenfield
26 18 -8 Brennan Poole
27 28 +1 Jennifer Jo Cobb
28 26 -2 Angela Ruch
29 12 -17 Austin Wayne Self
30 27 -3 John Hunter Nemechek
31 21 -10 Tyler Dippel
32 29 -3 Mason Massey
Stage Results
Driver Stage 1 Stage 2 Stage 3 Stage Pts
Spencer Boyd
Todd Gilliland 9 9
Riley Herbst 6
Brett Moffitt 2 2
Stewart Friesen 5 1
Austin Hill 7
Tyler Ankrum 6
Matt Crafton 10
Sheldon Creed 1 4
Grant Enfinger
Harrison Burton
Ben Rhodes 8
Korbin Forrister
Johnny Sauter 5
Anthony Alfredo 8
Natalie Decker
Bryan Dauzat
Norm Benning
Jesse Iwuji
Gus Dean 7
Jordan Anderson
Ross Chastain 3
Timothy Peters
Codie Rohrbaugh
Clay Greenfield
Brennan Poole
Jennifer Jo Cobb
Angela Ruch
Austin Wayne Self 10 3
John Hunter Nemechek 4
Tyler Dippel
Mason Massey
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 7 matched drivers, the model averaged 11.9 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
2 Todd Gilliland 22.9 2 +20.9
3 Riley Herbst 23.7 3 +20.7
6 Austin Hill 24.0 6 +18.0
15 Anthony Alfredo 23.7 15 +8.7
22 Ross Chastain 17.4 22 -4.6
26 Brennan Poole 25.2 26 -0.8
30 John Hunter Nemechek 20.5 30 -9.5

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Spencer Boyd: has 7 career starts at Talladega Superspeedway with a 17.7 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Ross Chastain: was the model’s top pick based on 23 career starts at Talladega Superspeedway with a 17.7 avg finish (1 win), finishing P22 on the day.
  • Todd Gilliland: was the biggest surprise, finishing P2 vs predicted P23. Track history: 14 starts, 13.6 avg finish.

Explore More

Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2019 Sugarlands Shine 250?
Spencer Boyd won the 2019 Sugarlands Shine 250 at Talladega Superspeedway driving for Young's Motorsports.
Where was the 2019 Sugarlands Shine 250 held?
The 2019 Sugarlands Shine 250 was held at Talladega Superspeedway on October 12, 2019.