NASCAR Camping World Truck Series at Phoenix

Phoenix Raceway — November 5, 2021

Chandler Smith
Winner
150
Laps
36
Entries
3
Leaders

Chandler Smith won the 2021 NASCAR Camping World Truck Series at Phoenix at Phoenix Raceway on November 5, 2021, leading 39 of 150 laps. Stewart Friesen finished second; Ben Rhodes rounded out the podium. The race featured 3 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Friday, November 5, 2021
Season
2021
Leaders
3 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 1 Chandler Smith
2 7 +5 Stewart Friesen
3 4 +1 Ben Rhodes
4 2 -2 Sheldon Creed
5 13 +8 Zane Smith
6 9 +3 Christian Eckes
7 16 +9 John Hunter Nemechek
8 3 -5 Todd Gilliland
9 6 -3 Carson Hocevar
10 11 +1 Austin Hill
11 17 +6 Johnny Sauter
12 5 -7 Matt Crafton
13 27 +14 Grant Enfinger
14 14 Tyler Ankrum
15 8 -7 Derek Kraus
16 12 -4 Chase Purdy
17 10 -7 Hailie Deegan
18 23 +5 Drew Dollar
19 18 -1 Ryan Truex
20 15 -5 Jack Wood
21 25 +4 Dean Thompson
22 30 +8 Will Rodgers
23 29 +6 Jordan Anderson
24 32 +8 Willie Allen
25 19 -6 Ty Dillon
26 24 -2 Austin Wayne Self
27 31 +4 Chris Hacker
28 28 Danny Bohn
29 26 -3 Taylor Gray
30 35 +5 Cory Roper
31 36 +5 Spencer Boyd
32 20 -12 Kris Wright
33 34 +1 Tyler Hill
34 21 -13 Tate Fogleman
35 22 -13 Tanner Gray
36 33 -3 Lawless Alan
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 8 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.1 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
5 Zane Smith 20.2 5 +15.2
7 John Hunter Nemechek 20.1 7 +13.1
8 Todd Gilliland 17.1 8 +9.1
9 Carson Hocevar 14.7 9 +5.7
10 Austin Hill 20.2 10 +10.2
15 Derek Kraus 22.2 15 +7.2
19 Ryan Truex 15.6 19 -3.4
25 Ty Dillon 24.3 25 -0.7

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Chandler Smith: has 9 career starts at Phoenix Raceway with a 6.1 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Carson Hocevar: was the model’s top pick based on 10 career starts at Phoenix Raceway with a 20.7 avg finish, finishing P9 on the day.
  • Zane Smith: was the biggest surprise, finishing P5 vs predicted P20. Track history: 8 starts, 20.3 avg finish.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2021 NASCAR Camping World Truck Series at Phoenix?
Chandler Smith won the 2021 NASCAR Camping World Truck Series at Phoenix at Phoenix Raceway.
Where was the 2021 NASCAR Camping World Truck Series at Phoenix held?
The 2021 NASCAR Camping World Truck Series at Phoenix was held at Phoenix Raceway on November 5, 2021.