NASCAR Camping World Truck Series at Phoenix
Phoenix Raceway — November 5, 2021
Chandler Smith
Winner
150
Laps
36
Entries
3
Leaders
Chandler Smith won the 2021 NASCAR Camping World Truck Series at Phoenix at Phoenix Raceway on November 5, 2021, leading 39 of 150 laps. Stewart Friesen finished second; Ben Rhodes rounded out the podium. The race featured 3 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Friday, November 5, 2021
Track
Season
2021
Winner
Leaders
3 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | — | Chandler Smith |
| 2 | 7 | +5 | Stewart Friesen |
| 3 | 4 | +1 | Ben Rhodes |
| 4 | 2 | -2 | Sheldon Creed |
| 5 | 13 | +8 | Zane Smith |
| 6 | 9 | +3 | Christian Eckes |
| 7 | 16 | +9 | John Hunter Nemechek |
| 8 | 3 | -5 | Todd Gilliland |
| 9 | 6 | -3 | Carson Hocevar |
| 10 | 11 | +1 | Austin Hill |
| 11 | 17 | +6 | Johnny Sauter |
| 12 | 5 | -7 | Matt Crafton |
| 13 | 27 | +14 | Grant Enfinger |
| 14 | 14 | — | Tyler Ankrum |
| 15 | 8 | -7 | Derek Kraus |
| 16 | 12 | -4 | Chase Purdy |
| 17 | 10 | -7 | Hailie Deegan |
| 18 | 23 | +5 | Drew Dollar |
| 19 | 18 | -1 | Ryan Truex |
| 20 | 15 | -5 | Jack Wood |
| 21 | 25 | +4 | Dean Thompson |
| 22 | 30 | +8 | Will Rodgers |
| 23 | 29 | +6 | Jordan Anderson |
| 24 | 32 | +8 | Willie Allen |
| 25 | 19 | -6 | Ty Dillon |
| 26 | 24 | -2 | Austin Wayne Self |
| 27 | 31 | +4 | Chris Hacker |
| 28 | 28 | — | Danny Bohn |
| 29 | 26 | -3 | Taylor Gray |
| 30 | 35 | +5 | Cory Roper |
| 31 | 36 | +5 | Spencer Boyd |
| 32 | 20 | -12 | Kris Wright |
| 33 | 34 | +1 | Tyler Hill |
| 34 | 21 | -13 | Tate Fogleman |
| 35 | 22 | -13 | Tanner Gray |
| 36 | 33 | -3 | Lawless Alan |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 8 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.1 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Zane Smith | 20.2 | 5 | +15.2 |
| 7 | John Hunter Nemechek | 20.1 | 7 | +13.1 |
| 8 | Todd Gilliland | 17.1 | 8 | +9.1 |
| 9 | Carson Hocevar | 14.7 | 9 | +5.7 |
| 10 | Austin Hill | 20.2 | 10 | +10.2 |
| 15 | Derek Kraus | 22.2 | 15 | +7.2 |
| 19 | Ryan Truex | 15.6 | 19 | -3.4 |
| 25 | Ty Dillon | 24.3 | 25 | -0.7 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Chandler Smith: has 9 career starts at Phoenix Raceway with a 6.1 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Carson Hocevar: was the model’s top pick based on 10 career starts at Phoenix Raceway with a 20.7 avg finish, finishing P9 on the day.
- Zane Smith: was the biggest surprise, finishing P5 vs predicted P20. Track history: 8 starts, 20.3 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2021 NASCAR Camping World Truck Series at Phoenix?
Chandler Smith won the 2021 NASCAR Camping World Truck Series at Phoenix at Phoenix Raceway.
Where was the 2021 NASCAR Camping World Truck Series at Phoenix held?
The 2021 NASCAR Camping World Truck Series at Phoenix was held at Phoenix Raceway on November 5, 2021.