NASCAR Xfinity Series at Darlington

Darlington Raceway — September 3, 2022

Noah Gragson

Winner

147

Laps

Entries

Leaders

Noah Gragson won the 2022 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Darlington at Darlington Raceway on September 3, 2022, leading 82 of 147 laps. Sheldon Creed finished second; A.J. Allmendinger rounded out the podium. The race featured 6 different leaders.

Race Details

Date

Saturday, September 3, 2022

Track

Darlington Raceway

Season

2022

Winner

Noah Gragson

Leaders

6 drivers

Sort by

Pos	Start	+/-	Driver	Laps	Interval	Status	Led	Pts
1	2	+1	Noah Gragson	147	—	Running	82	59
2	3	+1	Sheldon Creed	147	—	Running	47	46
3	19	+16	A.J. Allmendinger	147	—	Running	—	36
4	6	+2	Justin Allgaier	147	—	Running	12	50
5	7	+2	Kyle Larson	147	—	Running	1	0
6	5	-1	Ty Gibbs	147	—	Running	—	43
7	36	+29	Christopher Bell	147	—	Running	—	0
8	15	+7	Josh Berry	147	—	Running	—	30
9	17	+8	John Hunter Nemechek	147	—	Running	—	0
10	4	-6	Austin Hill	147	—	Running	2	37
11	12	+1	Sam Mayer	147	—	Running	—	26
12	9	-3	Landon Cassill	147	—	Running	—	25
13	10	-3	Daniel Hemric	147	—	Running	—	24
14	1	-13	Brandon Jones	147	—	Running	3	39
15	11	-4	Ross Chastain	147	—	Running	—	0
16	16	—	Kyle Weatherman	147	—	Running	—	23
17	14	-3	Stefan Parsons	147	—	Running	—	0
18	25	+7	Ryan Sieg	147	—	Running	—	19
19	22	+3	Bayley Currey	147	—	Running	—	18
20	27	+7	Mason Massey	147	—	Running	—	17
21	13	-8	Jeremy Clements	147	—	Running	—	16
22	31	+9	Ryan Ellis	147	—	Running	—	15
23	38	+15	Kyle Sieg	147	—	Running	—	14
24	18	-6	Jeb Burton	147	—	Running	—	13
25	30	+5	David Starr	147	—	Running	—	12
26	29	+3	Josh Williams	146	—	Running	—	11
27	26	-1	Ryan Vargas	146	—	Running	—	10
28	21	-7	Myatt Snider	145	—	Running	—	9
29	32	+3	Brandon Brown	145	—	Running	—	8
30	35	+5	Dawson Cram	145	—	Running	—	7
31	28	-3	Brennan Poole	86	—	DNF	—	0
32	23	-9	J.J. Yeley	83	—	DNF	—	5
33	20	-13	Joe Graf Jr.	61	—	DNF	—	4
34	8	-26	Riley Herbst	56	—	DNF	—	8
35	24	-11	Ty Dillon	55	—	DNF	—	0
36	34	-2	Kris Wright	55	—	DNF	—	1
37	37	—	Anthony Alfredo	51	—	DNF	—	1
38	33	-5	Tommy Joe Martins	44	—	DNF	—	1

Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 16 matched drivers, the model averaged 10.1 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos	Driver	Predicted	Actual	Delta	Conf.
1	Noah Gragson	21.4	1	+20.4	High Confidence
3	A.J. Allmendinger	18.3	3	+15.3	Moderate
4	Justin Allgaier	18.3	4	+14.3	Coinflip
5	Kyle Larson	12.7	5	+7.7	Coinflip
6	Ty Gibbs	14.5	6	+8.5	Coinflip
7	Christopher Bell	10.7	7	+3.7	Moderate
8	Josh Berry	22.9	8	+14.9	High Confidence
9	John Hunter Nemechek	19.1	9	+10.1	Moderate
10	Austin Hill	20.9	10	+10.9	Moderate
15	Ross Chastain	13.3	15	-1.7	Coinflip
25	David Starr	20.9	25	-4.1	Moderate
31	Brennan Poole	24.7	31	-6.3	Moderate
32	J.J. Yeley	28.8	32	-3.2	High Confidence
34	Riley Herbst	21.4	34	-12.6	High Confidence
35	Ty Dillon	23.4	35	-11.6	High Confidence
37	Anthony Alfredo	20.9	37	-16.1	Moderate

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

Noah Gragson: has 11 career starts at Darlington Raceway with a 11.7 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
Christopher Bell: was the model’s top pick based on 22 career starts at Darlington Raceway with a 13.5 avg finish (1 win), finishing P7 on the day.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2022 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Darlington?

Noah Gragson won the 2022 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Darlington at Darlington Raceway.

Where was the 2022 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Darlington held?

The 2022 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Darlington was held at Darlington Raceway on September 3, 2022.