NASCAR Xfinity Series at Darlington
Darlington Raceway, September 3, 2022
Noah Gragson
Winner
147
Laps
38
Entries
6
Leaders
Noah Gragson won the 2022 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Darlington at Darlington Raceway on September 3, 2022, leading 82 of 147 laps. Sheldon Creed finished second; A.J. Allmendinger rounded out the podium. The race featured 6 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, September 3, 2022
Track
Season
2022
Winner
Leaders
6 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | +1 | Noah Gragson |
| 2 | 3 | +1 | Sheldon Creed |
| 3 | 19 | +16 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 4 | 6 | +2 | Justin Allgaier |
| 5 | 7 | +2 | Kyle Larson |
| 6 | 5 | -1 | Ty Gibbs |
| 7 | 36 | +29 | Christopher Bell |
| 8 | 15 | +7 | Josh Berry |
| 9 | 17 | +8 | John Hunter Nemechek |
| 10 | 4 | -6 | Austin Hill |
| 11 | 12 | +1 | Sam Mayer |
| 12 | 9 | -3 | Landon Cassill |
| 13 | 10 | -3 | Daniel Hemric |
| 14 | 1 | -13 | Brandon Jones |
| 15 | 11 | -4 | Ross Chastain |
| 16 | 16 | — | Kyle Weatherman |
| 17 | 14 | -3 | Stefan Parsons |
| 18 | 25 | +7 | Ryan Sieg |
| 19 | 22 | +3 | Bayley Currey |
| 20 | 27 | +7 | Mason Massey |
| 21 | 13 | -8 | Jeremy Clements |
| 22 | 31 | +9 | Ryan Ellis |
| 23 | 38 | +15 | Kyle Sieg |
| 24 | 18 | -6 | Jeb Burton |
| 25 | 30 | +5 | David Starr |
| 26 | 29 | +3 | Josh Williams |
| 27 | 26 | -1 | Ryan Vargas |
| 28 | 21 | -7 | Myatt Snider |
| 29 | 32 | +3 | Brandon Brown |
| 30 | 35 | +5 | Dawson Cram |
| 31 | 28 | -3 | Brennan Poole |
| 32 | 23 | -9 | J.J. Yeley |
| 33 | 20 | -13 | Joe Graf Jr. |
| 34 | 8 | -26 | Riley Herbst |
| 35 | 24 | -11 | Ty Dillon |
| 36 | 34 | -2 | Kris Wright |
| 37 | 37 | — | Anthony Alfredo |
| 38 | 33 | -5 | Tommy Joe Martins |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 16 matched drivers, the model averaged 10.0 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Noah Gragson | 22.9 | 1 | +21.9 |
| 3 | A.J. Allmendinger | 17.1 | 3 | +14.1 |
| 4 | Justin Allgaier | 17.1 | 4 | +13.1 |
| 5 | Kyle Larson | 13.1 | 5 | +8.1 |
| 6 | Ty Gibbs | 10.7 | 6 | +4.7 |
| 7 | Christopher Bell | 9.2 | 7 | +2.2 |
| 8 | Josh Berry | 21.4 | 8 | +13.4 |
| 9 | John Hunter Nemechek | 18.3 | 9 | +9.3 |
| 10 | Austin Hill | 26.4 | 10 | +16.4 |
| 15 | Ross Chastain | 14.5 | 15 | -0.5 |
| 25 | David Starr | 21.0 | 25 | -4.0 |
| 31 | Brennan Poole | 23.4 | 31 | -7.6 |
| 32 | J.J. Yeley | 28.6 | 32 | -3.4 |
| 34 | Riley Herbst | 19.9 | 34 | -14.1 |
| 35 | Ty Dillon | 22.9 | 35 | -12.1 |
| 37 | Anthony Alfredo | 21.4 | 37 | -15.6 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Noah Gragson: has 12 career starts at Darlington Raceway with a 12.9 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Christopher Bell: was the model’s top pick based on 21 career starts at Darlington Raceway with a 13.4 avg finish (1 win), finishing P7 on the day.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2022 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Darlington?
Noah Gragson won the 2022 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Darlington at Darlington Raceway.
Where was the 2022 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Darlington held?
The 2022 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Darlington was held at Darlington Raceway on September 3, 2022.