NASCAR Xfinity Series at Charlotte

Charlotte Motor Speedway, May 25, 2024

Chase Elliott
Winner
200
Laps
38
Entries
9
Leaders

Chase Elliott won the 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Charlotte at Charlotte Motor Speedway on May 25, 2024, leading 18 of 200 laps. Brandon Jones finished second; Sammy Smith rounded out the podium. The race featured 9 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Saturday, May 25, 2024
Season
2024
Winner
Leaders
9 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 30 +29 Chase Elliott
2 10 +8 Brandon Jones
3 16 +13 Sammy Smith
4 13 +9 Sam Mayer
5 11 +6 A.J. Allmendinger
6 2 -4 Kyle Busch
7 21 +14 Ryan Sieg
8 36 +28 Josh Williams
9 1 -8 Ty Gibbs
10 18 +8 Noah Gragson
11 27 +16 Kyle Weatherman
12 15 +3 Taylor Gray
13 24 +11 Jeremy Clements
14 12 -2 Parker Retzlaff
15 29 +14 Shane van Gisbergen
16 17 +1 Anthony Alfredo
17 5 -12 Jeb Burton
18 3 -15 Chandler Smith
19 34 +15 Kyle Sieg
20 32 +12 Hailie Deegan
21 38 +17 J.J. Yeley
22 33 +11 Dawson Cram
23 25 +2 Leland Honeyman Jr.
24 20 -4 Garrett Smithley
25 8 -17 Austin Hill
26 14 -12 Matt DiBenedetto
27 22 -5 Ryan Ellis
28 4 -24 Jesse Love
29 37 +8 Natalie Decker
30 35 +5 Patrick Emerling
31 23 -8 Brennan Poole
32 6 -26 Cole Custer
33 9 -24 Justin Allgaier
34 26 -8 Dean Thompson
35 31 -4 Blaine Perkins
36 7 -29 Sheldon Creed
37 28 -9 Parker Kligerman
38 19 -19 Riley Herbst
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 13 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.6 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Chase Elliott 10.1 1 +9.1
5 A.J. Allmendinger 17.1 5 +12.1
9 Ty Gibbs 10.7 9 +1.7
10 Noah Gragson 22.9 10 +12.9
15 Shane van Gisbergen 18.3 15 +3.3
16 Anthony Alfredo 21.4 16 +5.4
21 J.J. Yeley 28.6 21 +7.6
25 Austin Hill 26.4 25 +1.4
28 Jesse Love 21.0 28 -7.0
31 Brennan Poole 23.4 31 -7.6
32 Cole Custer 22.0 32 -10.0
33 Justin Allgaier 17.1 33 -15.9
38 Riley Herbst 19.9 38 -18.1

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Chase Elliott: has 22 career starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with a 15.3 avg finish (3 wins) — the model correctly identified this strength.
  • Noah Gragson: was the biggest surprise, finishing P10 vs predicted P23. Track history: 14 starts, 15.1 avg finish.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Charlotte?
Chase Elliott won the 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Charlotte at Charlotte Motor Speedway.
Where was the 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Charlotte held?
The 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Charlotte was held at Charlotte Motor Speedway on May 25, 2024.