NASCAR Xfinity Series at Martinsville
Martinsville Speedway — April 6, 2024
Aric Almirola
Winner
251
Laps
38
Entries
8
Leaders
Aric Almirola won the 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Martinsville at Martinsville Speedway on April 6, 2024, leading 148 of 251 laps. Sam Mayer finished second; Chandler Smith rounded out the podium. The race featured 8 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, April 6, 2024
Track
Season
2024
Winner
Leaders
8 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | +5 | Aric Almirola |
| 2 | 9 | +7 | Sam Mayer |
| 3 | 37 | +34 | Chandler Smith |
| 4 | 12 | +8 | Carson Kvapil |
| 5 | 5 | — | Justin Allgaier |
| 6 | 3 | -3 | Sheldon Creed |
| 7 | 17 | +10 | Sammy Smith |
| 8 | 2 | -6 | Cole Custer |
| 9 | 11 | +2 | Jesse Love |
| 10 | 23 | +13 | Josh Williams |
| 11 | 19 | +8 | Shane van Gisbergen |
| 12 | 18 | +6 | Parker Kligerman |
| 13 | 16 | +3 | Taylor Gray |
| 14 | 24 | +10 | Brennan Poole |
| 15 | 7 | -8 | Anthony Alfredo |
| 16 | 30 | +14 | Blaine Perkins |
| 17 | 8 | -9 | Ryan Sieg |
| 18 | 27 | +9 | Hailie Deegan |
| 19 | 34 | +15 | Myatt Snider |
| 20 | 33 | +13 | Dexter Bean |
| 21 | 14 | -7 | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 22 | 21 | -1 | Jeremy Clements |
| 23 | 28 | +5 | Kyle Sieg |
| 24 | 32 | +8 | Dawson Cram |
| 25 | 22 | -3 | Riley Herbst |
| 26 | 29 | +3 | Ryan Ellis |
| 27 | 1 | -26 | Brandon Jones |
| 28 | 36 | +8 | Joey Gase |
| 29 | 31 | +2 | Garrett Smithley |
| 30 | 35 | +5 | Logan Bearden |
| 31 | 25 | -6 | Leland Honeyman Jr. |
| 32 | 4 | -28 | Jeb Burton |
| 33 | 26 | -7 | Kyle Weatherman |
| 34 | 10 | -24 | Austin Hill |
| 35 | 20 | -15 | Corey Heim |
| 36 | 15 | -21 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 37 | 13 | -24 | Parker Retzlaff |
| 38 | 38 | — | Akinori Ogata |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 11 matched drivers, the model averaged 10.8 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Justin Allgaier | 17.7 | 5 | +12.7 |
| 8 | Cole Custer | 23.0 | 8 | +15.0 |
| 9 | Jesse Love | 21.0 | 9 | +12.0 |
| 11 | Shane van Gisbergen | 18.3 | 11 | +7.3 |
| 14 | Brennan Poole | 23.1 | 14 | +9.1 |
| 15 | Anthony Alfredo | 22.0 | 15 | +7.0 |
| 25 | Riley Herbst | 22.1 | 25 | -2.9 |
| 28 | Joey Gase | 22.0 | 28 | -6.0 |
| 34 | Austin Hill | 20.2 | 34 | -13.8 |
| 35 | Corey Heim | 20.1 | 35 | -14.9 |
| 36 | A.J. Allmendinger | 18.3 | 36 | -17.7 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Aric Almirola: has 40 career starts at Martinsville Speedway with a 16.6 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Justin Allgaier: was the model’s top pick based on 16 career starts at Martinsville Speedway with a 12.8 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P5 on the day.
- Cole Custer: was the biggest surprise, finishing P8 vs predicted P23. Track history: 18 starts, 17.7 avg finish.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Martinsville?
Aric Almirola won the 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Martinsville at Martinsville Speedway.
Where was the 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Martinsville held?
The 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Martinsville was held at Martinsville Speedway on April 6, 2024.