NASCAR Xfinity Series at Phoenix
Phoenix Raceway — November 9, 2024
Riley Herbst
Winner
213
Laps
38
Entries
8
Leaders
Riley Herbst won the 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Phoenix at Phoenix Raceway on November 9, 2024, leading 167 of 213 laps. Justin Allgaier finished second; Aric Almirola rounded out the podium. The race featured 8 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, November 9, 2024
Track
Season
2024
Winner
Leaders
8 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | +2 | Riley Herbst |
| 2 | 37 | +35 | Justin Allgaier |
| 3 | 38 | +35 | Aric Almirola |
| 4 | 21 | +17 | Connor Zilisch |
| 5 | 4 | -1 | Chandler Smith |
| 6 | 6 | — | Jesse Love |
| 7 | 2 | -5 | Sheldon Creed |
| 8 | 7 | -1 | Cole Custer |
| 9 | 9 | — | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 10 | 5 | -5 | Austin Hill |
| 11 | 8 | -3 | Sam Mayer |
| 12 | 17 | +5 | Shane van Gisbergen |
| 13 | 1 | -12 | William Sawalich |
| 14 | 31 | +17 | Parker Kligerman |
| 15 | 15 | — | Sammy Smith |
| 16 | 16 | — | Jeb Burton |
| 17 | 13 | -4 | Daniel Dye |
| 18 | 33 | +15 | Brandon Jones |
| 19 | 24 | +5 | Dylan Lupton |
| 20 | 22 | +2 | Jeremy Clements |
| 21 | 32 | +11 | Josh Bilicki |
| 22 | 25 | +3 | Blaine Perkins |
| 23 | 23 | — | Ryan Sieg |
| 24 | 28 | +4 | Brennan Poole |
| 25 | 20 | -5 | Ryan Ellis |
| 26 | 11 | -15 | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 27 | 34 | +7 | Joey Gase |
| 28 | 30 | +2 | Patrick Emerling |
| 29 | 29 | — | Kyle Sieg |
| 30 | 36 | +6 | Garrett Smithley |
| 31 | 26 | -5 | Leland Honeyman Jr. |
| 32 | 27 | -5 | Dawson Cram |
| 33 | 19 | -14 | Josh Williams |
| 34 | 10 | -24 | Parker Retzlaff |
| 35 | 18 | -17 | Jeffrey Earnhardt |
| 36 | 12 | -24 | Anthony Alfredo |
| 37 | 35 | -2 | Greg Van Alst |
| 38 | 14 | -24 | Stefan Parsons |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 13 matched drivers, the model averaged 10.8 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Riley Herbst | 22.1 | 1 | +21.1 |
| 2 | Justin Allgaier | 17.7 | 2 | +15.7 |
| 4 | Connor Zilisch | 21.2 | 4 | +17.2 |
| 6 | Jesse Love | 21.0 | 6 | +15.0 |
| 8 | Cole Custer | 23.0 | 8 | +15.0 |
| 9 | A.J. Allmendinger | 18.3 | 9 | +9.3 |
| 10 | Austin Hill | 20.2 | 10 | +10.2 |
| 12 | Shane van Gisbergen | 18.3 | 12 | +6.3 |
| 17 | Daniel Dye | 19.0 | 17 | +2.0 |
| 21 | Josh Bilicki | 29.4 | 21 | +8.4 |
| 24 | Brennan Poole | 23.1 | 24 | -0.9 |
| 27 | Joey Gase | 22.0 | 27 | -5.0 |
| 36 | Anthony Alfredo | 22.0 | 36 | -14.0 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Riley Herbst: has 12 career starts at Phoenix Raceway with a 14.9 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Justin Allgaier: was the model’s top pick based on 15 career starts at Phoenix Raceway with a 10.3 avg finish (1 win), finishing P2 on the day.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Phoenix?
Riley Herbst won the 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Phoenix at Phoenix Raceway.
Where was the 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Phoenix held?
The 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Phoenix was held at Phoenix Raceway on November 9, 2024.