NASCAR Xfinity Series at Martinsville

Martinsville Speedway — March 29, 2025

Austin Hill
Winner
256
Laps
38
Entries
10
Leaders

Austin Hill won the 2025 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Martinsville at Martinsville Speedway on March 29, 2025, leading 1 of 256 laps. Sheldon Creed finished second; Justin Allgaier rounded out the podium. The race featured 10 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Saturday, March 29, 2025
Season
2025
Winner
Leaders
10 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 3 +2 Austin Hill
2 18 +16 Sheldon Creed
3 6 +3 Justin Allgaier
4 29 +25 Brennan Poole
5 16 +11 Sam Mayer
6 12 +6 Dean Thompson
7 9 +2 Daniel Dye
8 13 +5 Ryan Sieg
9 30 +21 Kris Wright
10 10 Sammy Smith
11 38 +27 Jeb Burton
12 27 +15 Parker Retzlaff
13 15 +2 Aric Almirola
14 23 +9 Jeremy Clements
15 34 +19 Garrett Smithley
16 33 +17 Patrick Staropoli
17 26 +9 Josh Williams
18 24 +6 Ryan Ellis
19 22 +3 Blaine Perkins
20 2 -18 Carson Kvapil
21 8 -13 Corey Day
22 7 -15 Brandon Jones
23 32 +9 Brad Perez
24 5 -19 Harrison Burton
25 31 +6 Mason Maggio
26 28 +2 Matt DiBenedetto
27 14 -13 William Sawalich
28 1 -27 Connor Zilisch
29 11 -18 Taylor Gray
30 37 +7 Carson Ware
31 25 -6 Thomas Annunziata
32 20 -12 Nick Sanchez
33 21 -12 Myatt Snider
34 19 -15 Christian Eckes
35 35 Kyle Sieg
36 36 Greg Van Alst
37 4 -33 Jesse Love
38 17 -21 Anthony Alfredo
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 7 matched drivers, the model averaged 14.8 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Austin Hill 20.2 1 +19.2
3 Justin Allgaier 17.7 3 +14.7
4 Brennan Poole 23.1 4 +19.1
7 Daniel Dye 19.0 7 +12.0
28 Connor Zilisch 21.2 28 -6.8
37 Jesse Love 21.0 37 -16.0
38 Anthony Alfredo 22.0 38 -16.0

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Austin Hill: has 21 career starts at Martinsville Speedway with a 16.3 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Justin Allgaier: was the model’s top pick based on 16 career starts at Martinsville Speedway with a 12.8 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P3 on the day.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2025 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Martinsville?
Austin Hill won the 2025 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Martinsville at Martinsville Speedway.
Where was the 2025 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Martinsville held?
The 2025 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Martinsville was held at Martinsville Speedway on March 29, 2025.