Circuit City 250
Richmond Raceway — January 1, 2007
Clint Bowyer
Winner
250
Laps
43
Entries
5
Leaders
Clint Bowyer won the 2007 Circuit City 250 at Richmond Raceway on January 1, 2007, leading 29 of 250 laps. Matt Kenseth finished second; Jeff Burton rounded out the podium. The race featured 5 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Monday, January 1, 2007
Track
Season
2007
Winner
Leaders
5 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | +7 | Clint Bowyer |
| 2 | 2 | — | Matt Kenseth |
| 3 | 4 | +1 | Jeff Burton |
| 4 | 13 | +9 | Kevin Harvick |
| 5 | 17 | +12 | Kyle Busch |
| 6 | 6 | — | Greg Biffle |
| 7 | 27 | +20 | Casey Mears |
| 8 | 10 | +2 | Reed Sorenson |
| 9 | 16 | +7 | David Reutimann |
| 10 | 19 | +9 | Scott Wimmer |
| 11 | 11 | — | Juan Pablo Montoya |
| 12 | 29 | +17 | J.J. Yeley |
| 13 | 12 | -1 | Carl Edwards |
| 14 | 14 | — | David Ragan |
| 15 | 15 | — | Regan Smith |
| 16 | 5 | -11 | Dave Blaney |
| 17 | 18 | +1 | Scott Riggs |
| 18 | 3 | -15 | Shane Huffman |
| 19 | 22 | +3 | Jamie McMurray |
| 20 | 30 | +10 | David Gilliland |
| 21 | 37 | +16 | Jon Wood |
| 22 | 25 | +3 | Bobby Hamilton Jr. |
| 23 | 9 | -14 | Tony Raines |
| 24 | 31 | +7 | Stephen Leicht |
| 25 | 21 | -4 | Ward Burton |
| 26 | 40 | +14 | Marcos Ambrose |
| 27 | 23 | -4 | Brad Coleman |
| 28 | 42 | +14 | Justin Diercks |
| 29 | 38 | +9 | Derrike Cope |
| 30 | 7 | -23 | Bobby Santos |
| 31 | 36 | +5 | Brent Sherman |
| 32 | 35 | +3 | Steve Wallace |
| 33 | 20 | -13 | Mike Bliss |
| 34 | 33 | -1 | Kyle Krisiloff |
| 35 | 32 | -3 | Brad Keselowski |
| 36 | 26 | -10 | Mike Wallace |
| 37 | 24 | -13 | Jason Leffler |
| 38 | 34 | -4 | Dange Hanniford |
| 39 | 39 | — | D.J. Kennington |
| 40 | 41 | +1 | Brett Rowe |
| 41 | 1 | -40 | Denny Hamlin |
| 42 | 43 | +1 | Kevin Lepage |
| 43 | 28 | -15 | Sam Hornish Jr. |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 5 matched drivers, the model averaged 19.0 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Kyle Busch | 15.6 | 5 | +10.6 |
| 7 | Casey Mears | 18.0 | 7 | +11.0 |
| 12 | J.J. Yeley | 28.1 | 12 | +16.1 |
| 35 | Brad Keselowski | 12.0 | 35 | -23.0 |
| 41 | Denny Hamlin | 6.8 | 41 | -34.2 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Clint Bowyer: has 15 career starts at Richmond Raceway with a 11.7 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 27 career starts at Richmond Raceway with a 9.8 avg finish (3 wins), finishing P41 on the day.
- J.J. Yeley: was the biggest surprise, finishing P12 vs predicted P28. Track history: 13 starts, 24.0 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2007 Circuit City 250?
Clint Bowyer won the 2007 Circuit City 250 at Richmond Raceway driving for Richard Childress Racing.
Where was the 2007 Circuit City 250 held?
The 2007 Circuit City 250 was held at Richmond Raceway on January 1, 2007.