NASCAR Nationwide Series at Chicago
Chicagoland Speedway — September 15, 2012
Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
Winner
200
Laps
43
Entries
9
Leaders
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. won the 2012 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Chicago at Chicagoland Speedway on September 15, 2012, leading 22 of 200 laps. Kyle Busch finished second; Austin Dillon rounded out the podium. The race featured 9 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, September 15, 2012
Track
Season
2012
Winner
Leaders
9 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | +2 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 2 | 6 | +4 | Kyle Busch |
| 3 | 2 | -1 | Austin Dillon |
| 4 | 16 | +12 | Brad Keselowski |
| 5 | 7 | +2 | Paul Menard |
| 6 | 4 | -2 | Sam Hornish Jr. |
| 7 | 8 | +1 | Michael Annett |
| 8 | 5 | -3 | Elliott Sadler |
| 9 | 1 | -8 | Joey Logano |
| 10 | 42 | +32 | Brian Scott |
| 11 | 10 | -1 | Justin Allgaier |
| 12 | 12 | — | Danica Patrick |
| 13 | 9 | -4 | Mike Bliss |
| 14 | 13 | -1 | Cole Whitt |
| 15 | 18 | +3 | Brad Sweet |
| 16 | 25 | +9 | Joe Nemechek |
| 17 | 20 | +3 | Alex Bowman |
| 18 | 19 | +1 | Tayler Malsam |
| 19 | 21 | +2 | Mike Wallace |
| 20 | 11 | -9 | Kenny Wallace |
| 21 | 17 | -4 | Johanna Long |
| 22 | 34 | +12 | Erik Darnell |
| 23 | 22 | -1 | Jamie Dick |
| 24 | 24 | — | Dexter Stacey |
| 25 | 30 | +5 | Eric McClure |
| 26 | 37 | +11 | Juan Carlos Blum |
| 27 | 35 | +8 | Danny Efland |
| 28 | 15 | -13 | Jason Bowles |
| 29 | 14 | -15 | Benny Gordon |
| 30 | 31 | +1 | Jeremy Clements |
| 31 | 27 | -4 | Jeff Green |
| 32 | 39 | +7 | Morgan Shepherd |
| 33 | 36 | +3 | Timmy Hill |
| 34 | 38 | +4 | Tony Raines |
| 35 | 40 | +5 | Joey Gase |
| 36 | 29 | -7 | Blake Koch |
| 37 | 33 | -4 | Scott Riggs |
| 38 | 32 | -6 | Matt Carter |
| 39 | 41 | +2 | Mike Harmon |
| 40 | 28 | -12 | J.J. Yeley |
| 41 | 23 | -18 | Josh Wise |
| 42 | 26 | -16 | Chase Miller |
| 43 | 43 | — | Tim Andrews |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 10 matched drivers, the model averaged 10.4 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 19.9 | 1 | +18.9 |
| 2 | Kyle Busch | 17.0 | 2 | +15.0 |
| 3 | Austin Dillon | 17.1 | 3 | +14.1 |
| 4 | Brad Keselowski | 11.2 | 4 | +7.2 |
| 9 | Joey Logano | 14.7 | 9 | +5.7 |
| 11 | Justin Allgaier | 18.3 | 11 | +7.3 |
| 17 | Alex Bowman | 13.5 | 17 | -3.5 |
| 33 | Timmy Hill | 23.9 | 33 | -9.1 |
| 35 | Joey Gase | 23.4 | 35 | -11.6 |
| 40 | J.J. Yeley | 28.8 | 40 | -11.2 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Ricky Stenhouse Jr.: has 9 career starts at Chicagoland Speedway with a 14.8 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Brad Keselowski: was the model’s top pick based on 16 career starts at Chicagoland Speedway with a 8.6 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P4 on the day.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2012 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Chicago?
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. won the 2012 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Chicago at Chicagoland Speedway.
Where was the 2012 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Chicago held?
The 2012 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Chicago was held at Chicagoland Speedway on September 15, 2012.