NASCAR Nationwide Series at Iowa
Iowa Speedway — August 4, 2012
Elliott Sadler
Winner
250
Laps
43
Entries
4
Leaders
Elliott Sadler won the 2012 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Iowa at Iowa Speedway on August 4, 2012, leading 60 of 250 laps. Justin Allgaier finished second; Sam Hornish Jr. rounded out the podium. The race featured 4 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, August 4, 2012
Track
Season
2012
Winner
Leaders
4 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | — | Elliott Sadler |
| 2 | 5 | +3 | Justin Allgaier |
| 3 | 7 | +4 | Sam Hornish Jr. |
| 4 | 17 | +13 | Michael Annett |
| 5 | 11 | +6 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 6 | 8 | +2 | Michael McDowell |
| 7 | 2 | -5 | Bubba Wallace |
| 8 | 4 | -4 | Jason Leffler |
| 9 | 10 | +1 | Brett Moffitt |
| 10 | 13 | +3 | Ryan Blaney |
| 11 | 18 | +7 | Danica Patrick |
| 12 | 16 | +4 | Brad Sweet |
| 13 | 14 | +1 | Johanna Long |
| 14 | 6 | -8 | Brendan Gaughan |
| 15 | 3 | -12 | Austin Dillon |
| 16 | 20 | +4 | Joe Nemechek |
| 17 | 15 | -2 | Kurt Busch |
| 18 | 9 | -9 | Brian Scott |
| 19 | 12 | -7 | Cole Whitt |
| 20 | 21 | +1 | Mike Bliss |
| 21 | 24 | +3 | Jeremy Clements |
| 22 | 23 | +1 | Tayler Malsam |
| 23 | 26 | +3 | John Blankenship |
| 24 | 19 | -5 | Jamie Dick |
| 25 | 32 | +7 | Mike Wallace |
| 26 | 34 | +8 | Justin Jennings |
| 27 | 28 | +1 | Erik Darnell |
| 28 | 36 | +8 | Scott Saunders |
| 29 | 22 | -7 | Jason Bowles |
| 30 | 42 | +12 | Timmy Hill |
| 31 | 33 | +2 | Eric McClure |
| 32 | 25 | -7 | Joey Gase |
| 33 | 41 | +8 | Daryl Harr |
| 34 | 29 | -5 | Josh Richards |
| 35 | 39 | +4 | Morgan Shepherd |
| 36 | 37 | +1 | T.J. Bell |
| 37 | 40 | +3 | Mike Harmon |
| 38 | 35 | -3 | Carl Long |
| 39 | 38 | -1 | Tim Schendel |
| 40 | 43 | +3 | Dusty Davis |
| 41 | 30 | -11 | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 42 | 31 | -11 | Chase Miller |
| 43 | 27 | -16 | Jeff Green |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 8 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.2 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Justin Allgaier | 18.3 | 2 | +16.3 |
| 5 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 19.9 | 5 | +14.9 |
| 6 | Michael McDowell | 17.0 | 6 | +11.0 |
| 7 | Bubba Wallace | 12.7 | 7 | +5.7 |
| 10 | Ryan Blaney | 9.2 | 10 | -0.8 |
| 15 | Austin Dillon | 17.1 | 15 | +2.1 |
| 30 | Timmy Hill | 23.9 | 30 | -6.1 |
| 32 | Joey Gase | 23.4 | 32 | -8.6 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Elliott Sadler: has 13 career starts at Iowa Speedway with a 8.2 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Ryan Blaney: was the model’s top pick based on 10 career starts at Iowa Speedway with a 6.2 avg finish (3 wins), finishing P10 on the day.
- Justin Allgaier: was the biggest surprise, finishing P2 vs predicted P18. Track history: 14 starts, 10.1 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2012 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Iowa?
Elliott Sadler won the 2012 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Iowa at Iowa Speedway.
Where was the 2012 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Iowa held?
The 2012 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Iowa was held at Iowa Speedway on August 4, 2012.