Fred's 250 powered by Coca-Cola
Talladega Superspeedway — January 1, 2013
Johnny Sauter
Winner
94
Laps
36
Entries
13
Leaders
Johnny Sauter won the 2013 Fred's 250 powered by Coca-Cola at Talladega Superspeedway on January 1, 2013, leading 5 of 94 laps. David Starr finished second; Ross Chastain rounded out the podium. The race featured 13 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Tuesday, January 1, 2013
Track
Season
2013
Winner
Leaders
13 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | +23 | Johnny Sauter |
| 2 | 25 | +23 | David Starr |
| 3 | 7 | +4 | Ross Chastain |
| 4 | 18 | +14 | Parker Kligerman |
| 5 | 14 | +9 | Dakoda Armstrong |
| 6 | 27 | +21 | Timmy Hill |
| 7 | 19 | +12 | John Wes Townley |
| 8 | 2 | -6 | Max Gresham |
| 9 | 23 | +14 | Matt Crafton |
| 10 | 3 | -7 | Kyle Busch |
| 11 | 8 | -3 | Brendan Gaughan |
| 12 | 33 | +21 | Norm Benning |
| 13 | 21 | +8 | Clay Greenfield |
| 14 | 5 | -9 | Ty Dillon |
| 15 | 17 | +2 | Chris Fontaine |
| 16 | 26 | +10 | Bryan Silas |
| 17 | 10 | -7 | Bubba Wallace |
| 18 | 1 | -17 | Jeb Burton |
| 19 | 11 | -8 | Miguel Paludo |
| 20 | 16 | -4 | Justin Lofton |
| 21 | 13 | -8 | Ryan Blaney |
| 22 | 35 | +13 | Mike Harmon |
| 23 | 29 | +6 | Ryan Sieg |
| 24 | 6 | -18 | Ron Hornaday Jr. |
| 25 | 36 | +11 | Scott Stenzel |
| 26 | 4 | -22 | James Buescher |
| 27 | 9 | -18 | Joey Coulter |
| 28 | 32 | +4 | Jeff Agnew |
| 29 | 31 | +2 | Timothy Peters |
| 30 | 28 | -2 | Caleb Holman |
| 31 | 20 | -11 | German Quiroga |
| 32 | 15 | -17 | Brennan Newberry |
| 33 | 22 | -11 | Sean Corr |
| 34 | 34 | — | Chris Cockrum |
| 35 | 30 | -5 | Chris Jones |
| 36 | 12 | -24 | Mason Mingus |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 7 matched drivers, the model averaged 10.1 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | David Starr | 21.1 | 2 | +19.1 |
| 3 | Ross Chastain | 17.4 | 3 | +14.4 |
| 6 | Timmy Hill | 22.8 | 6 | +16.8 |
| 10 | Kyle Busch | 15.1 | 10 | +5.1 |
| 14 | Ty Dillon | 21.1 | 14 | +7.1 |
| 17 | Bubba Wallace | 16.0 | 17 | -1.0 |
| 21 | Ryan Blaney | 13.9 | 21 | -7.1 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Johnny Sauter: has 26 career starts at Talladega Superspeedway with a 20.1 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Ryan Blaney: was the model’s top pick based on 27 career starts at Talladega Superspeedway with a 16.5 avg finish (3 wins), finishing P21 on the day.
- David Starr: was the biggest surprise, finishing P2 vs predicted P21. Track history: 23 starts, 21.4 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2013 Fred's 250 powered by Coca-Cola?
Johnny Sauter won the 2013 Fred's 250 powered by Coca-Cola at Talladega Superspeedway driving for ThorSport Racing.
Where was the 2013 Fred's 250 powered by Coca-Cola held?
The 2013 Fred's 250 powered by Coca-Cola was held at Talladega Superspeedway on January 1, 2013.