NASCAR Nationwide Series at Las Vegas
Las Vegas Motor Speedway — March 9, 2013
Sam Hornish Jr.
Winner
200
Laps
40
Entries
9
Leaders
Sam Hornish Jr. won the 2013 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Las Vegas at Las Vegas Motor Speedway on March 9, 2013, leading 114 of 200 laps. Kyle Busch finished second; Brian Vickers rounded out the podium. The race featured 9 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, March 9, 2013
Track
Season
2013
Winner
Leaders
9 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | +6 | Sam Hornish Jr. |
| 2 | 23 | +21 | Kyle Busch |
| 3 | 1 | -2 | Brian Vickers |
| 4 | 2 | -2 | Trevor Bayne |
| 5 | 15 | +10 | Elliott Sadler |
| 6 | 4 | -2 | Austin Dillon |
| 7 | 12 | +5 | Regan Smith |
| 8 | 18 | +10 | Alex Bowman |
| 9 | 3 | -6 | Brian Scott |
| 10 | 31 | +21 | Travis Pastrana |
| 11 | 5 | -6 | Ty Dillon |
| 12 | 17 | +5 | Brad Sweet |
| 13 | 11 | -2 | Nelson Piquet Jr. |
| 14 | 32 | +18 | Dale Earnhardt, Jr. |
| 15 | 10 | -5 | Justin Allgaier |
| 16 | 9 | -7 | Reed Sorenson |
| 17 | 20 | +3 | Mike Bliss |
| 18 | 21 | +3 | Ryan Sieg |
| 19 | 27 | +8 | Johanna Long |
| 20 | 40 | +20 | Scott Lagasse Jr. |
| 21 | 22 | +1 | Blake Koch |
| 22 | 36 | +14 | Jamie Dick |
| 23 | 37 | +14 | Dexter Stacey |
| 24 | 14 | -10 | Hal Martin |
| 25 | 26 | +1 | Josh Wise |
| 26 | 34 | +8 | Jeffrey Earnhardt |
| 27 | 16 | -11 | Joe Nemechek |
| 28 | 30 | +2 | Juan Carlos Blum |
| 29 | 29 | — | Robert Richardson Jr. |
| 30 | 8 | -22 | Parker Kligerman |
| 31 | 25 | -6 | Daryl Harr |
| 32 | 13 | -19 | Kyle Larson |
| 33 | 38 | +5 | Joey Gase |
| 34 | 19 | -15 | Mike Wallace |
| 35 | 28 | -7 | Jason A. White |
| 36 | 35 | -1 | Kevin Lepage |
| 37 | 6 | -31 | Brad Keselowski |
| 38 | 33 | -5 | Jeff Green |
| 39 | 39 | — | Chase Miller |
| 40 | 24 | -16 | Eric McClure |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 8 matched drivers, the model averaged 12.7 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kyle Busch | 17.0 | 2 | +15.0 |
| 6 | Austin Dillon | 17.1 | 6 | +11.1 |
| 8 | Alex Bowman | 13.5 | 8 | +5.5 |
| 11 | Ty Dillon | 23.4 | 11 | +12.4 |
| 15 | Justin Allgaier | 18.3 | 15 | +3.3 |
| 32 | Kyle Larson | 12.7 | 32 | -19.3 |
| 33 | Joey Gase | 23.4 | 33 | -9.6 |
| 37 | Brad Keselowski | 11.2 | 37 | -25.8 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Sam Hornish Jr.: has 6 career starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with a 19.8 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Brad Keselowski: was the model’s top pick based on 35 career starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with a 14.7 avg finish (4 wins), finishing P37 on the day.
- Kyle Busch: was the biggest surprise, finishing P2 vs predicted P17. Track history: 52 starts, 11.3 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2013 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Las Vegas?
Sam Hornish Jr. won the 2013 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Las Vegas at Las Vegas Motor Speedway.
Where was the 2013 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Las Vegas held?
The 2013 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Las Vegas was held at Las Vegas Motor Speedway on March 9, 2013.