NASCAR Nationwide Series at Daytona
Daytona International Speedway — February 23, 2013
Tony Stewart
Winner
120
Laps
40
Entries
20
Leaders
Tony Stewart won the 2013 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Daytona at Daytona International Speedway on February 23, 2013, leading 3 of 120 laps. Sam Hornish Jr. finished second; Alex Bowman rounded out the podium. The race featured 20 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, February 23, 2013
Season
2013
Winner
Leaders
20 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | +9 | Tony Stewart |
| 2 | 2 | — | Sam Hornish Jr. |
| 3 | 8 | +5 | Alex Bowman |
| 4 | 13 | +9 | Dale Earnhardt, Jr. |
| 5 | 3 | -2 | Parker Kligerman |
| 6 | 29 | +23 | Brian Scott |
| 7 | 14 | +7 | Justin Allgaier |
| 8 | 28 | +20 | Eric McClure |
| 9 | 30 | +21 | Robert Richardson Jr. |
| 10 | 4 | -6 | Travis Pastrana |
| 11 | 17 | +6 | Nelson Piquet Jr. |
| 12 | 11 | -1 | Brad Keselowski |
| 13 | 21 | +8 | Kyle Larson |
| 14 | 15 | +1 | Regan Smith |
| 15 | 6 | -9 | Elliott Sadler |
| 16 | 9 | -7 | Matt Kenseth |
| 17 | 27 | +10 | Mike Harmon |
| 18 | 33 | +15 | Joe Nemechek |
| 19 | 20 | +1 | Brian Vickers |
| 20 | 19 | -1 | Kasey Kahne |
| 21 | 5 | -16 | Austin Dillon |
| 22 | 31 | +9 | Jeffrey Earnhardt |
| 23 | 26 | +3 | Mike Bliss |
| 24 | 35 | +11 | Jason A. White |
| 25 | 38 | +13 | Danny Efland |
| 26 | 22 | -4 | Michael Annett |
| 27 | 25 | -2 | Johanna Long |
| 28 | 32 | +4 | Hal Martin |
| 29 | 18 | -11 | Jamie Dick |
| 30 | 39 | +9 | Reed Sorenson |
| 31 | 1 | -30 | Trevor Bayne |
| 32 | 7 | -25 | Kyle Busch |
| 33 | 37 | +4 | Jeremy Clements |
| 34 | 23 | -11 | Mike Wallace |
| 35 | 40 | +5 | Kurt Busch |
| 36 | 12 | -24 | Danica Patrick |
| 37 | 36 | -1 | Juan Carlos Blum |
| 38 | 34 | -4 | Blake Koch |
| 39 | 24 | -15 | Scott Lagasse Jr. |
| 40 | 16 | -24 | Jeff Green |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 6 matched drivers, the model averaged 9.2 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Alex Bowman | 15.1 | 3 | +12.1 |
| 7 | Justin Allgaier | 21.1 | 7 | +14.1 |
| 12 | Brad Keselowski | 16.0 | 12 | +4.0 |
| 13 | Kyle Larson | 18.5 | 13 | +5.5 |
| 21 | Austin Dillon | 23.4 | 21 | +2.4 |
| 32 | Kyle Busch | 15.1 | 32 | -16.9 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Tony Stewart: has 47 career starts at Daytona International Speedway with a 16.5 avg finish (9 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Alex Bowman: was the model’s top pick based on 22 career starts at Daytona International Speedway with a 16.2 avg finish, finishing P3 on the day.
- Justin Allgaier: was the biggest surprise, finishing P7 vs predicted P21. Track history: 32 starts, 16.7 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2013 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Daytona?
Tony Stewart won the 2013 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Daytona at Daytona International Speedway.
Where was the 2013 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Daytona held?
The 2013 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Daytona was held at Daytona International Speedway on February 23, 2013.