Fred's 250
Talladega Superspeedway — October 18, 2014
Timothy Peters
Winner
95
Laps
36
Entries
9
Leaders
Timothy Peters won the 2014 Fred's 250 at Talladega Superspeedway on October 18, 2014, leading 31 of 95 laps. Tayler Malsam finished second; Spencer Gallagher rounded out the podium. The race featured 9 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, October 18, 2014
Track
Season
2014
Winner
Leaders
9 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | +25 | Timothy Peters |
| 2 | 2 | — | Tayler Malsam |
| 3 | 21 | +18 | Spencer Gallagher |
| 4 | 1 | -3 | Tyler Reddick |
| 5 | 5 | — | Ryan Blaney |
| 6 | 6 | — | Erik Jones |
| 7 | 11 | +4 | Chris Fontaine |
| 8 | 9 | +1 | John Wes Townley |
| 9 | 27 | +18 | Bubba Wallace |
| 10 | 8 | -2 | Joe Nemechek |
| 11 | 15 | +4 | Brennan Newberry |
| 12 | 19 | +7 | Bryan Silas |
| 13 | 16 | +3 | Joey Coulter |
| 14 | 3 | -11 | Matt Crafton |
| 15 | 17 | +2 | Daniel Suarez |
| 16 | 7 | -9 | Jeb Burton |
| 17 | 25 | +8 | Tyler Young |
| 18 | 24 | +6 | Jennifer Jo Cobb |
| 19 | 29 | +10 | Korbin Forrister |
| 20 | 23 | +3 | Norm Benning |
| 21 | 20 | -1 | Clay Greenfield |
| 22 | 30 | +8 | Scott Stenzel |
| 23 | 28 | +5 | Ryan Ellis |
| 24 | 33 | +9 | Michael Affarano |
| 25 | 36 | +11 | Milka Duno |
| 26 | 32 | +6 | Derek White |
| 27 | 31 | +4 | Cody Ware |
| 28 | 13 | -15 | Ben Kennedy |
| 29 | 12 | -17 | German Quiroga |
| 30 | 18 | -12 | Jimmy Weller III |
| 31 | 4 | -27 | Johnny Sauter |
| 32 | 10 | -22 | Mason Mingus |
| 33 | 22 | -11 | Ryan Sieg |
| 34 | 14 | -20 | Ron Hornaday Jr. |
| 35 | 34 | -1 | Justin Jennings |
| 36 | 35 | -1 | Mike Harmon |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 6 matched drivers, the model averaged 6.5 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Good
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Tyler Reddick | 13.6 | 4 | +9.6 |
| 5 | Ryan Blaney | 13.9 | 5 | +8.9 |
| 6 | Erik Jones | 18.5 | 6 | +12.5 |
| 9 | Bubba Wallace | 16.0 | 9 | +7.0 |
| 15 | Daniel Suarez | 15.1 | 15 | +0.1 |
| 27 | Cody Ware | 27.9 | 27 | +0.9 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Timothy Peters: has 10 career starts at Talladega Superspeedway with a 10.4 avg finish (3 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Tyler Reddick: was the model’s top pick based on 20 career starts at Talladega Superspeedway with a 16.1 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P4 on the day.
- Erik Jones: was the biggest surprise, finishing P6 vs predicted P19. Track history: 20 starts, 14.8 avg finish.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2014 Fred's 250?
Timothy Peters won the 2014 Fred's 250 at Talladega Superspeedway driving for Red Horse Racing.
Where was the 2014 Fred's 250 held?
The 2014 Fred's 250 was held at Talladega Superspeedway on October 18, 2014.