NASCAR Nationwide Series at Bristol

Bristol Motor Speedway — March 15, 2014

Kyle Busch

Winner

300

Laps

Entries

Leaders

Kyle Busch won the 2014 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Bristol at Bristol Motor Speedway on March 15, 2014, leading 120 of 300 laps. Kyle Larson finished second; Kevin Harvick rounded out the podium. The race featured 3 different leaders.

Race Details

Date

Saturday, March 15, 2014

Track

Bristol Motor Speedway

Season

2014

Winner

Kyle Busch

Leaders

3 drivers

Sort by

Pos	Start	+/-	Driver	Manufacturer	Laps	Interval	Status	Led	Pts
1	2	+1	Kyle Busch		300	—	Running	120	0
2	1	-1	Kyle Larson		300	—	Running	2	0
3	6	+3	Kevin Harvick		300	—	Running	—	0
4	5	+1	Ryan Blaney		300	—	Running	—	0
5	3	-2	Matt Kenseth		300	—	Running	178	0
6	9	+3	Ty Dillon		300	—	Running	—	38
7	20	+13	Brendan Gaughan		300	—	Running	—	37
8	14	+6	Trevor Bayne		300	—	Running	—	36
9	15	+6	Chase Elliott		300	—	Running	—	35
10	7	-3	Regan Smith		300	—	Running	—	34
11	12	+1	Cale Conley		300	—	Running	—	0
12	26	+14	Landon Cassill		300	—	Running	—	32
13	8	-5	James Buescher		299	—	Running	—	31
14	4	-10	Brian Scott		299	—	Running	—	30
15	11	-4	Dylan Kwasniewski		298	—	Running	—	29
16	13	-3	Chris Buescher		298	—	Running	—	28
17	18	+1	Elliott Sadler		297	—	Running	—	27
18	30	+12	Jeremy Clements		297	—	Running	—	26
19	34	+15	Joe Nemechek		297	—	Running	—	0
20	19	-1	Ryan Sieg		296	—	Running	—	0
21	25	+4	Timmy Hill		296	—	Running	—	0
22	22	—	Will Kimmel		294	—	Running	—	22
23	37	+14	Jamie Dick		294	—	Running	—	21
24	29	+5	Dakoda Armstrong		294	—	Running	—	20
25	28	+3	Mike Wallace		294	—	Running	—	19
26	10	-16	Mike Bliss		293	—	Running	—	18
27	35	+8	Eric McClure		290	—	Running	—	17
28	36	+8	Derrike Cope		290	—	Running	—	16
29	38	+9	Joey Gase		285	—	Running	—	15
30	23	-7	Josh Wise		270	—	Running	—	0
31	21	-10	Ryan Reed		258	—	Running	—	13
32	17	-15	Jeffrey Earnhardt		249	—	DNF	—	12
33	39	+6	Ruben Garcia Mateos		214	—	DNF	—	11
34	33	-1	Kevin Lepage	Dodge	152	—	DNF	—	10
35	27	-8	Kelly Admiraal		148	—	DNF	—	9
36	31	-5	Tanner Berryhill		144	—	DNF	—	8
37	40	+3	Matt Carter	Dodge	18	—	DNF	—	0
38	32	-6	Carl Long	Dodge	11	—	DNF	—	6
39	16	-23	Matt DiBenedetto		6	—	DNF	—	5
40	24	-16	Blake Koch		5	—	DNF	—	4

Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 8 matched drivers, the model averaged 7.4 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Average

Pos	Driver	Predicted	Actual	Delta	Conf.
1	Kyle Busch	15.6	1	+14.6	Coinflip
2	Kyle Larson	8.6	2	+6.6	Moderate
4	Ryan Blaney	6.8	4	+2.8	High Confidence
6	Ty Dillon	24.3	6	+18.3	High Confidence
9	Chase Elliott	8.3	9	-0.7	High Confidence
16	Chris Buescher	10.3	16	-5.7	Moderate
21	Timmy Hill	24.3	21	+3.3	High Confidence
29	Joey Gase	22.0	29	-7.0	High Confidence

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

Kyle Busch: has 73 career starts at Bristol Motor Speedway with a 11.7 avg finish (20 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
Ryan Blaney: was the model’s top pick based on 28 career starts at Bristol Motor Speedway with a 11.6 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P4 on the day.
Ty Dillon: was the biggest surprise, finishing P6 vs predicted P24. Track history: 29 starts, 17.0 avg finish.

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Track

Bristol Motor Speedway

Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2014 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Bristol?

Kyle Busch won the 2014 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Bristol at Bristol Motor Speedway.

Where was the 2014 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Bristol held?

The 2014 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Bristol was held at Bristol Motor Speedway on March 15, 2014.