History 300 at Charlotte

Charlotte Motor Speedway — May 24, 2014

Kyle Larson

Winner

200

Laps

Entries

Leaders

Kyle Larson won the 2014 History 300 at Charlotte at Charlotte Motor Speedway on May 24, 2014, leading 82 of 200 laps. Brad Keselowski finished second; Kyle Busch rounded out the podium. The race featured 6 different leaders.

Race Details

Date

Saturday, May 24, 2014

Track

Charlotte Motor Speedway

Season

2014

Winner

Kyle Larson

Leaders

6 drivers

Sort by

Pos	Start	+/-	Driver	Manufacturer	Laps	Interval	Status	Led	Pts
1	3	+2	Kyle Larson		200	—	Running	82	0
2	2	—	Brad Keselowski		200	—	Running	22	0
3	1	-2	Kyle Busch		200	—	Running	27	0
4	5	+1	Kevin Harvick		200	—	Running	—	0
5	6	+1	Brian Scott		200	—	Running	—	39
6	7	+1	Matt Kenseth		200	—	Running	67	0
7	8	+1	Regan Smith		200	—	Running	—	37
8	16	+8	Trevor Bayne		200	—	Running	—	36
9	13	+4	Chris Buescher		200	—	Running	—	35
10	11	+1	Ty Dillon		200	—	Running	—	34
11	15	+4	James Buescher		200	—	Running	1	34
12	10	-2	Elliott Sadler		200	—	Running	—	32
13	4	-9	Dylan Kwasniewski		199	—	Running	—	31
14	23	+9	Ryan Reed		199	—	Running	—	30
15	12	-3	Jeb Burton		198	—	Running	—	0
16	24	+8	Johnny Sauter		198	—	Running	—	0
17	20	+3	Brendan Gaughan		198	—	Running	—	27
18	19	+1	Ross Chastain		197	—	Running	—	0
19	27	+8	Dakoda Armstrong		197	—	Running	—	25
20	18	-2	Mike Bliss		197	—	Running	—	24
21	21	—	J.J. Yeley		197	—	Running	—	23
22	26	+4	John Wes Townley		197	—	Running	—	0
23	31	+8	Jeremy Clements		197	—	Running	1	22
24	22	-2	David Starr		197	—	Running	—	20
25	29	+4	Jeffrey Earnhardt		196	—	Running	—	19
26	17	-9	Chad Boat		196	—	Running	—	18
27	28	+1	Ryan Sieg		196	—	Running	—	17
28	25	-3	Josh Wise		195	—	Running	—	0
29	34	+5	Eric McClure		194	—	Running	—	15
30	14	-16	Landon Cassill		193	—	Running	—	14
31	32	+1	Tommy Joe Martins	Dodge	191	—	Running	—	13
32	30	-2	Kyle Fowler		191	—	Running	—	12
33	33	—	Carlos Contreras		191	—	Running	—	11
34	38	+4	Joey Gase		189	—	Running	—	10
35	39	+4	Chris Cockrum		186	—	Running	—	0
36	36	—	Derrike Cope		184	—	Running	—	8
37	9	-28	Chase Elliott		174	—	Running	—	7
38	37	-1	Harrison Rhodes	Dodge	135	—	DNF	—	6
39	35	-4	Kevin Lepage	Dodge	95	—	DNF	—	5
40	40	—	Tanner Berryhill		81	—	DNF	—	4

Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 10 matched drivers, the model averaged 10.4 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos	Driver	Predicted	Actual	Delta	Conf.
1	Kyle Larson	12.7	1	+11.7	Coinflip
2	Brad Keselowski	11.2	2	+9.2	Moderate
3	Kyle Busch	17.0	3	+14.0	Coinflip
9	Chris Buescher	9.2	9	+0.2	High Confidence
10	Ty Dillon	23.4	10	+13.4	High Confidence
18	Ross Chastain	13.3	18	-4.7	Coinflip
21	J.J. Yeley	28.8	21	+7.8	High Confidence
24	David Starr	20.9	24	-3.1	Moderate
34	Joey Gase	23.4	34	-10.6	High Confidence
37	Chase Elliott	7.8	37	-29.2	High Confidence

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

Kyle Larson: has 21 career starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with a 15.1 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
Chase Elliott: was the model’s top pick based on 20 career starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with a 13.1 avg finish (3 wins), finishing P37 on the day.
Kyle Busch: was the biggest surprise, finishing P3 vs predicted P17. Track history: 68 starts, 8.4 avg finish.

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Track

Charlotte Motor Speedway

Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2014 History 300 at Charlotte?

Kyle Larson won the 2014 History 300 at Charlotte at Charlotte Motor Speedway.

Where was the 2014 History 300 at Charlotte held?

The 2014 History 300 at Charlotte was held at Charlotte Motor Speedway on May 24, 2014.