NASCAR Nationwide Series at Darlington

Darlington Raceway — April 11, 2014

Chase Elliott
Winner
147
Laps
40
Entries
6
Leaders

Chase Elliott won the 2014 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Darlington at Darlington Raceway on April 11, 2014, leading 52 of 147 laps. Elliott Sadler finished second; Matt Kenseth rounded out the podium. The race featured 6 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Friday, April 11, 2014
Season
2014
Winner
Leaders
6 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 2 +1 Chase Elliott
2 9 +7 Elliott Sadler
3 3 Matt Kenseth
4 1 -3 Kyle Busch
5 15 +10 Joey Logano
6 12 +6 Kyle Larson
7 4 -3 Kevin Harvick
8 8 Regan Smith
9 10 +1 Trevor Bayne
10 5 -5 Ty Dillon
11 7 -4 Brian Scott
12 16 +4 Landon Cassill
13 18 +5 Ryan Reed
14 23 +9 J.J. Yeley
15 19 +4 Josh Wise
16 20 +4 Mike Bliss
17 27 +10 Mike Wallace
18 25 +7 Dakoda Armstrong
19 31 +12 Kevin Lepage
20 26 +6 Jeffrey Earnhardt
21 30 +9 Eric McClure
22 13 -9 Brendan Gaughan
23 17 -6 Dylan Kwasniewski
24 36 +12 Carlos Contreras
25 22 -3 James Buescher
26 32 +6 Joey Gase
27 28 +1 Tanner Berryhill
28 29 +1 Todd Bodine
29 35 +6 Derrike Cope
30 34 +4 Tommy Joe Martins
31 21 -10 Jeremy Clements
32 11 -21 Cale Conley
33 39 +6 Mike Harmon
34 6 -28 Chris Buescher
35 24 -11 David Starr
36 37 +1 Matt Carter
37 14 -23 Ryan Sieg
38 33 -5 Matt DiBenedetto
39 38 -1 Jeff Green
40 40 Blake Koch
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 9 matched drivers, the model averaged 11.8 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Chase Elliott 7.8 1 +6.8
4 Kyle Busch 17.0 4 +13.0
5 Joey Logano 14.7 5 +9.7
6 Kyle Larson 12.7 6 +6.7
10 Ty Dillon 23.4 10 +13.4
14 J.J. Yeley 28.8 14 +14.8
26 Joey Gase 23.4 26 -2.6
34 Chris Buescher 9.2 34 -24.8
35 David Starr 20.9 35 -14.1

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Chase Elliott: has 23 career starts at Darlington Raceway with a 12.8 avg finish (1 win) — the model correctly identified this strength.
  • J.J. Yeley: was the biggest surprise, finishing P14 vs predicted P29. Track history: 28 starts, 27.3 avg finish.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2014 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Darlington?
Chase Elliott won the 2014 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Darlington at Darlington Raceway.
Where was the 2014 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Darlington held?
The 2014 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Darlington was held at Darlington Raceway on April 11, 2014.